[NL20-NL50] 50NL Q8s 3bet pot

    • dozeer
      dozeer
      Bronze
      Joined: 25.07.2011 Posts: 186
      Full Tilt, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, Rush, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (SB): $50.45 (100.9 bb)
      BB: $56.15 (112.3 bb)
      UTG: $56.70 (113.4 bb)
      MP: $59.20 (118.4 bb)
      CO: $50.25 (100.5 bb)
      BTN: $51.85 (103.7 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with 8 Q
      3 folds, BTN raises to $1, Hero raises to $3.50, BB folds, BTN calls $2.50

      Flop: ($7.50) 9 2 7 (2 players)
      Hero bets $4, BTN calls $4

      Turn: ($15.50) K (2 players)
      Hero bets $10.50, BTN calls $10.50

      River: ($36.50) 9 (2 players)
      Hero has $32 left




      Hi,

      my thoughts:

      flop - decent flop to cbet - 2 backdoors, overcard. not likely to hit his 3b flatting range.

      turn - pretty good card for my range, so I keep betting

      river - my guess on his river range:

      TP+ - 15 combos (KQs floats, A9s,Q9s, J9s few combos of T9s, 98s, 97s )
      TT-JJ - 12 combos
      AJss,AQss floats - 2 combos
      missed draws - 8 combos JTs,T8s, some 86s


      so it looks like river might be slightly profitable shove given my assumptions & him folding TT-JJ..

      What is your take on this?

      thanks
  • 1 reply