[NL20-NL50] NL50 SH - KJs: TP turn

    • Lunitis
      Lunitis
      Gold
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,132
      BB: 16/14

      MP: 57/17
      62% fold vs cbet
      42% donkbet flop (30/55/15 fold/call/3bet vs raise donkbet)
      41% wwsf
      49% agg% river
      2.7 af
      952 hands

      BU: 51/21
      73% fold vs cbet
      0.7 af
      91 hands

      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $159.85 (319.7 bb)
      SB: $41.92 (83.8 bb)
      BB: $50 (100 bb)
      MP: $46.24 (92.5 bb)
      Hero (CO): $50 (100 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with J K
      MP calls $0.50, Hero raises to $2, BTN calls $2, SB folds, BB calls $1.50, MP calls $1.50

      Flop: ($8.25) K 6 8 (4 players)
      BB checks, MP bets $5, Hero calls $5, BTN calls $5, BB folds

      Turn: ($23.25) 4 (3 players)
      MP bets $19.50, Hero?
  • 3 replies
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      Hey,

      Turn is a fold imo..

      Yes, his flop aggression and donk bet stat are high but on the turn you have to think about BU as well. If he is a reg he is aware of MP's spewy tendencies and will slowplay more often. Your equity also decreses quite a bit 3way. HU you can probably not fold because MP will bet even wider and there's nobody else to act. With BU's range involved and being vs 2 also strengthening MP's range I'd go with the fold.
    • Lunitis
      Lunitis
      Gold
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,132
      BU:
      BU: 51/21 73% fold vs cbet 0.7 af 91 hands



      Fold?
      I did.
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      Yep, missed BU's stat there.. but yes, just a fold. They just improve their equity a lot..