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[NL2-NL10] NL16SH Q9s draw. Spot to think of riverraise?

    • DaPhunk
      Joined: 01.03.2008 Posts: 2,805
      Poker Stars $16.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      BTN: $16.29
      SB: $11.03
      BB: $16.00
      UTG: $19.39
      MP: $26.77
      Hero (CO): $16.00

      Pre Flop: ($0.24) Hero is CO with 9 :club: Q :club:
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.48, 1 fold, SB calls $0.40, 1 fold

      Flop: ($1.12) K :club: 6 :club: A :spade: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.64, SB calls $0.64

      Turn: ($2.40) J :diamond: (2 players)
      SB bets $1.12, Hero calls $1.12

      River: ($4.64) 3 :spade: (2 players)
      SB bets $1.44, Hero raise vs missed Flushdraws?

      Villain is 57/10 on 130 hands. 13% flop aggression, 36% on turn and river.

      He folds 60+% vs cbets.

      When villain bets turn I'm guessing he is most likely on either a weak pair type hand or some sort of draw. Occasionally he can have a good hand but I'm thinking this is quite rare. I don't expect any folds turn to a shove, but when the river bricks it seems like a good idea to jam given my expectation of his range.

      Do you agree or is his riverbet just a deliberate red rag to a bull? Him being a fish perhaps he calls with some bad hands I didn't even expect him to have :f_p:
  • 2 replies
    • cutegoldfish
      Joined: 19.11.2009 Posts: 4,335
      Turn - calling looks fine here the donk bet looks weak but I doubt he's folding to a raise

      River - I don't really like raising here, his bet is bigger than the turn, I don't think he's betting a missed draw, more likely a weak pair or slow played hands, i don't advocate trying to make fishes fold 2nd or 3rd pair, because more often than not they don't so I prefer just folding the river.
    • DaPhunk
      Joined: 01.03.2008 Posts: 2,805