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[NL2-NL10] 88 Overpair With Straight Draw

    • MBJUK
      Joined: 24.04.2013 Posts: 56
      Is it okay to shove the turn due to fold equity?

      Guy was 33/29 over 45 hands. He was calling out of possition a lot so figured he didn't know what he was doing really (maybe wrongly, i dunno).

      I did have outs if he called so figured the move was okay, plus it was 6max so presumed my perceived range was wider therefore thought he was more likely to fold thinking I had the made straight.

      Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $8.88 (177.6 bb)
      SB: $7.34 (146.8 bb)
      BB: $14.33 (286.6 bb)
      MP: $1.81 (36.2 bb)
      Hero (CO): $5.12 (102.4 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with 8 8
      MP folds, Hero raises to $0.15, 2 folds, BB calls $0.10

      Flop: ($0.32) 2 6 5 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.30, BB raises to $0.80, Hero calls $0.50

      Turn: ($1.92) 7 (2 players)
      BB bets $1.38, Hero raises to $4.17 and is all-in, BB calls $2.79

      River: ($10.26) J (2 players, 1 is all-in)

      $10.26 pot ($0.43 rake)
      Final Board: 2 6 5 7 J
      BB showed 5 5 and won $9.83 ($4.71 net)
      Hero showed 8 8 and lost (-$5.12 net)
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      Flop: I think your bet is way too large. 88 isn't too strong here and with weaker hands you should bet on the smaller side. Of course balance may be important vs better players but this guy is an NL5 players so it shouldn't be too important. Besides, i think potting the Flop as a default size is too large as well. I think 2/3 pot should suffice.

      Once you get raised, you should be proceeding with caution

      Turn: The turn push is definitely overplay here. He is strongly repping either a set or a draw. By shoving here you just isolate yourself vs all his sets. I think you can call one more time and hope he gives up. If not fold the River.