[NL20-NL50] Q9 Ip

    • yaxkukmian
      Joined: 24.12.2007 Posts: 2,020
      40 hands 21/18/ 25 3b/ BB 3b 33

      IPoker, $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      SB: $8.30 (41.5 bb)
      BB: $40.07 (200.4 bb)
      CO: $10 (50 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $20 (100 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with Q 9
      CO folds, Hero raises to $0.40, SB folds, BB raises to $1.20, Hero raises to $3, BB calls $1.80

      Flop: ($6.10) A 4 5 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero checks

      Turn: ($6.10) Q (2 players)
      BB bets $3, Hero calls $3

      River: ($12.10) 7 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero checks

      $12.10 pot ($0.60 rake)
      Final Board: A 4 5 Q 7
      BB showed J J and lost (-$6 net)
      Hero mucked Q 9 and won $11.50 ($5.50 net)

      He's 3b too wide so I just pulled the trigger and 4b bluff with quite bad hand. Was playing a player. I go for bigger 4b because I want to have more fold equity.

      On this flop I just give up. If he c twiced then I would take a stab.

      T comes good/bad. Calling T is a must I guess but R will more often put us in difficult spot.

      Having in mind preflop action I expect him to play me quite straightforward so I don't expect him almost never bluffing me. So if he bet again he must have Ax or some KK or better Qx obviously.

      Would preflop 4b with Q9s be better or should I just do it with better hands?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694

      I think your sample size is too insignificant. You only have 40 hands on him, so the only 2 stats which may be somewhat accurate are the VPIP/PFR. 21/18 players are generally on the tighter side. Also, even with 40 hands I don't think VPIP PFR are going to necessarily be accurate - You'll probably need 100-200 hands at the very least.

      Flop: This is one of the best flops to cbet bluff on. A typical 4bet range contains many AX. You should definitely be betting like 2.50 here and hope he folds.