[NL2-NL10] 88 on dry flop

    • Edukator99
      Joined: 18.07.2010 Posts: 240
      PokerStars - $0.02 NL FAST - Holdem - 9 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BTN: 197 BB (VPIP: 15.04, PFR: 6.77, 3Bet Preflop: 2.27, Hands: 133)
      SB: 102 BB (VPIP: 16.67, PFR: 10.71, 3Bet Preflop: 6.25, Hands: 85)
      Hero (BB): 116.5 BB
      UTG: 100.5 BB (VPIP: 21.23, PFR: 0.69, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 148)
      UTG+1: 54 BB (VPIP: 23.81, PFR: 15.87, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 64)
      UTG+2: 47 BB (VPIP: 11.43, PFR: 10.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 70)
      MP: 150 BB (VPIP: 58.33, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 20.00, Hands: 12)
      MP+1: 170 BB (VPIP: 5.51, PFR: 5.29, 3Bet Preflop: 3.03, Hands: 461)
      CO: 43.5 BB (VPIP: 40.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 10)

      SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 8:spade: 8:diamond:

      fold, fold, fold, fold, MP+1 raises to 4 BB, fold, BTN calls 4 BB, fold, Hero calls 3 BB

      Flop: (12.5 BB, 3 players) 5:diamond: 4:spade: J:heart:
      Hero checks, MP+1 checks, BTN bets 7 BB, fold, fold

      BTN wins 12 BB

      MP checks. His stats are incredibly tight only 5%pfr over 461 hands so I'm almost assuming he has an overpair.

      The button player is actually loose, so I actually considered calling but thought with the MP still to bet I was likely beat. I'm assuming folding is best here.

      Let's say MP isn't there and it's just that looser player on the button. Would a call be a good play? I checked and I have 56% equity against his range.

      The only problem is if he double barrels I can only really call with if an 8 hits hits the board...or an undercard I guess. I just think that either that button player has Jx or he's bluffing. I don't see the 5 or 4 connecting with his range.
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Edukator,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: When MP checks he rarely has something. Most likely AK/AQ that doesn't hit.

      However, the BTN player isn't that loose at just 15/6. His range is also on the stronger side and I'd just fold as well.