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[NL20-NL50] NL50 ZOOM: AJ 3bet pot

    • yougotfelted51
      Joined: 04.02.2010 Posts: 1,276
      villain playing 19/13/4.5 3bet through 815 hands
      has not check/raised flop in 12 hands

      villain's line seems full of shit so often.

      what hands can villain have here?
      AQ/KQs would likely fold pre (i would imagine), and if they make it to flop, would likely only xc

      QQ i dont think would often xr since board is crushed/so dry

      KK+ would likely 4bet pre.

      that leaves maybe 99-JJ and AK that turn hands into bluff.

      i think by flatting xr i can still rep QQ+ in this spot, and villain will pretty much always shut down bluffs on turn i would imagine vs my line.

      obviously this hand can be viewed as possible huge spew by myself, so any feedback would be great!

      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $50.25 (100.5 bb)
      SB: $50.25 (100.5 bb)
      BB: $62 (124 bb)
      UTG: $67 (134 bb)
      Hero (MP): $80.21 (160.4 bb)
      CO: $130.05 (260.1 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP with J A
      UTG raises to $1.50, Hero raises to $4.50, 3 folds, BB calls $4, UTG folds

      Flop: ($10.75) Q 2 2 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $5.50, BB raises to $15, Hero calls $9.50

      Turn: ($40.75) K (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $13.50, BB folds

      $40.75 pot ($1.83 rake)
      Final Board: Q 2 2 K
      BB mucked and lost (-$19.50 net)
      Hero mucked J A and won $38.92 ($19.42 net)
  • 3 replies
    • w34z3l
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,331
      Hey Yougotfelted51,

      Tight players cold-calls vs 3bet - I'd usually assign him a strong range. 99+/AQ. You can partially discount KK/AA but not entirely.

      I don't see any need to cbet the flop. Yes, it's dry, but most of villains range is not folding to one bet.

      Vs check-raise I would fold. Yeah, I understand villains line is ridiculous on this texture. But you are effectively giving him credit for realising this by assuming his value range is non-existent - and I wouldn't give him that much credit unless you have reason to believe he is decent.

      After flat, turn is played well, with good bet-sizing.
    • yougotfelted51
      Joined: 04.02.2010 Posts: 1,276
      thanks w34z3l,

      you are correct in that most of villain's range will not fold to 1 bet. it was my plan to barrel most turns in addition to my flop cbet. do you think that this plan is a solid one on such a board vs villain's perceived range and what we can represent?
    • w34z3l
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,331

      I would tend towards just shutting down rather than firing 2barrels, simply because I'd expect his range to be stronger than average.

      If we assume 99+/AQ, that's roughly 60 combos, about half of which I'd expect villain to fold on a blank turn assuming he floats flop with entire range. So theoretically with less than pot-sized bet on turn could show a profit - but there are a lot of unknowns + it will be close, so I prefer giving up on flop.

      As for what you represent, not a huge issue here. Your range is uncapped and you can easily hold QQ+ yourself.