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[NL2-NL10] Bottom set dry board enough value ?

    • Locito
      Joined: 14.03.2008 Posts: 51
      iPoker - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      UTG: $10.58 (VPIP: 27.45, PFR: 27.45, 3Bet Preflop: 7.69, Hands: 53)
      CO: $13.58 (VPIP: 20.17, PFR: 11.76, 3Bet Preflop: 2.04, Hands: 119)
      BTN: $5.07 (VPIP: 17.21, PFR: 13.93, 3Bet Preflop: 4.44, Hands: 129)
      SB: $16.49 (VPIP: 20.83, PFR: 20.83, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 24)
      Hero (BB): $10.00

      SB posts SB $0.05, Hero posts BB $0.10

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has 2:club: 2:spade:

      UTG raises to $0.35, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls $0.25

      Flop: ($0.75, 2 players) K:spade: 2:heart: 8:club:
      Hero checks, UTG bets $0.50, Hero calls $0.50

      Turn: ($1.75, 2 players) 6:heart:
      Hero checks, UTG bets $1.10, Hero calls $1.10

      River: ($3.95, 2 players) 3:spade:
      Hero checks, UTG bets $1.50, Hero raises to $4.22, UTG calls $2.72

      UTG shows Q:heart: K:diamond: (One Pair, Kings) (Pre 48%, Flop 2%, Turn 0%)
      Hero shows 2:club: 2:spade: (Three of a Kind, Twos) (Pre 52%, Flop 98%, Turn 100%)
      Hero wins $11.57

      thought he had often a pretty strong hand from UTG (was after 14 hands so (VP/PR) stats where not really relevant and bit lower I could slowplay this, think the board was also suited for this.

      Did I got enough value from? Could/Should I have raised more on river or even earlier (turn) ?

      besides that I guess I have to call if he shoves?? would not feel that comfortable since I think I show so much strength that there is not that much I can beat if he shoves...
  • 4 replies
    • w34z3l
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,331
      Hey Locito,

      Hand is played well.

      No good reason to raise flop on such a dry texture.

      A check-raise is possible on the turn when the flush draw gets there. Flatting is also fine since the texture is still pretty dry. It depends a lot on villain.

      River check-raise for value is good. I think if villain shoves you have to call. You've invested a large amount of your stack already. You won't need to have the best hand very often for it to be a correct call, and there is always the chance that a player at these limits is overvaluing AA/AK/Kx or some sort of 2-pair.
    • Locito
      Joined: 14.03.2008 Posts: 51
      And what about the size of the river raise? just made it half pot cause I did not want him to lay down KQ & AK, think his bet on river is clearly a value one which indicates he will have difficulties laying it down.
    • GreenPiece
      Joined: 03.06.2010 Posts: 5,962
      Could donk be good on the river not to allow check behind? Or do we assume with a high probability that after two barrels (on the card that doesn't increase his fold equity on the turn) he has a value hand which will barrel on the river?
    • Locito
      Joined: 14.03.2008 Posts: 51
      think if he would call a donk on river he would also barrel on the river since it is obvious I must have something...but yeah looking at the hand he had I would prob have checked behind myself (maybe same for AK) since I am never calling 3 barrels with QQ or so against unknown player ...but I would also not have called a raise on the river with just AK or KQ without any specific player info
      think hard to say depends on player...