[NL2-NL10] NL2 K9s

    • overson
      Joined: 13.04.2008 Posts: 195
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.01/$0.02 No-Limit Hold'em (3 handed)

      Known players:
      BB (Hero):

      Preflop: Hero is BB with K, 9.
      BU calls $0.02, SB raises to $0.10, Hero raises to $0.30, BU folds, SB calls $0.20.

      Flop: ($0.62) 3, T, T (2 players)
      SB bets $1.34, Hero folds, SB gets uncalled bet back.

      Final Pot: $0.62.

      I really want to call here, my K might be good, but i need about 40% equity and being really optimistic with overcards i have 25% equity, am I right on this?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      Preflop: What range do you put SB on? If SB did open here and BU wasn't involved, I think this would be a really clear call as K9s is faring really well vs most standard SB stealing ranges.

      Here with a BU limper and with SB's raise size being 5bb, I think 3betting is a decent alternative since calling now becomes less desirable with one extra player in the hand and when the amount to call is larger than usual.

      as played I think it's an easy fold. it would be a tough spot with the nut flush draw though, but you could potentially call. I don't like the board being paired as hands like TX has you in bad shape even if you have A:sK with 2 overcards and a flush draw.

      It's a little difficult to analyze his PF and F range when we have no info on his PF tendencies.

      Pot odds = 134/330 = 40.6%

      1) Being extremely optimistic
      Board: TsTc3s
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 41.51% 41.22% 0.30% { Ks9s }
      MP3 58.49% 58.19% 0.30% { 99-88, AQs-ATs, KTs, QTs, JTs, T9s, As6s, As5s, As4s, As2s, AQo-ATo }

      If I was more conservative, you'll find that your equity would be significantly below the required 40% so this is a fold.