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[NL20-NL50] [SH]ZoomNL25 - AQs

    • bosiati
      Joined: 23.05.2008 Posts: 697
      Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $25 (100 bb)
      Hero (SB): $25 (100 bb)
      BB: $51.92 (207.7 bb)
      UTG: $100.18 (400.7 bb)
      MP: $37.52 (150.1 bb)
      CO: $27.67 (110.7 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with A Q
      UTG raises to $0.75, 3 folds, Hero raises to $2.50, BB folds, UTG calls $1.75

      Flop: ($5.25) A 9 5 (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.60, UTG calls $2.60

      Turn: ($10.45) 5 (2 players)
      Hero checks, UTG bets $4, Hero calls $4

      River: ($18.45) 2 (2 players)
      Hero checks, UTG bets $17.25, Hero calls $15.90 and is all-in

      $50.25 pot ($2 rake)
      Final Board: A 9 5 5 2
      Hero mucked A Q and lost (-$25 net)
      UTG showed K A and won $48.25 ($23.25 net)


      134 hands, 21/18, FoldTo3b:33(3)
      AF:1.3, AFq:45, WTSD:36, W$SD:80(5)

      What is the best turn and river game?

  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      Preflop: I wouldn't 3bet preflop here unless UTG is a really strong player who can exploit a face-up tight calling range from the SB. I certainly wouldn't 3bet from the BB.

      Flop: Based on villain's basic stats VPIP/PFR, I do think that you do not have 3 streets of value. I think his PF range is mostly AQs, MAYBE AQo and AK. AJs is kind of optimistic for a 21/18 player. His WTSD is high though, but I don't even think he defends weaker AX hands in the first place so that shouldn't really matter.

      Anyway I think it's pretty tough to fold, you could argue for checking Flop right away but I think you can just c/c T and hope that UTG is on some type of K:cQ type of float with back-doors on the Flop.