[NL2-NL10] NL5 FR 77 river spot - bluffing

    • Dawidas888
      Dawidas888
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Known Players:
      MP1: $5.00 - 100 bb
      MP2: $7.41 - 148 bb
      MP3: $26.99 - 540 bb
      CO: $2.00 - 40 bb
      BU: $12.43 - 249 bb
      SB: $5.00 - 100 bb
      BB: $5.43 - 109 bb

      0.02/0.05 No Limit Hold'em (7 Handed)
      Hand recorder for this hand: PokerStrategy.com SideKick 1.1.417.4

      Preflop: Hero is BU with 7:spade: , 7:diamond:
      SB posts small blind ($0.02), BB posts big blind ($0.05), MP1 folds, MP2 raises for $0.15, 2 folds, Hero calls, 2 folds

      Flop: ($0.37 - 7.40 bb) 6:spade: , 5:diamond: , 3:spade: (2 Players)
      MP2 bets $0.20, Hero raises for $0.60, MP2 calls

      Turn: ($1.57 - 31.40 bb) K:heart: (2 Players)
      MP2 checks, Hero checks

      River: ($1.57 - 31.40 bb) 2:diamond: (2 Players)
      MP2 checks, Hero bets $1.25, MP2 folds, Hero gets uncalled back ($1.25)

      -----

      MP2 was 41/30/6 over 68.

      PREFLOP
      Set mining.

      FLOP
      His 1/2 pot bet indicates weakness. He has a wide OR preflop.
      I raised for value from FD/overcards.

      TURN
      When he calls I figure he either has an OP or a FD. K also improves a part of his range (Kx FD).
      Decided to pot control and check behind.

      RIVER
      If he had a FD I win. However, I opted to bluff vs Kx/QQ-88. I could credibly rep a 4x.
      Not so sure of my bluff as I could also be called because of a missed FD.
      Nonetheless, I think I have more than 50% FE which makes this bet profitable.
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