[NL2-NL10] NL10 AQo vs F cold 3b

    • muel294
      Joined: 06.06.2009 Posts: 1,205
      Both villains are unknown

      Preflop: Don't see any reason to 3b here for value since I don't think villain would call much worse OOP and I would probably only ISO myself vs better.

      Flop: When the PFA'r cbets I don't see calling as an option because I don't want to give a free card here. Folding is out of the question with top two obviously. So decided to raise for value/protection

      When the BB cold 3b's this is clearly very strong and he won't be folding here. I expected him to have something like AJ+ with a :spade: maybe some KX :spade: and 2pr+. Something like

      Board: A:spade: 5:spade: Q:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      BU     46.03%  40.73%   5.30% { AQo }
      BB     53.97%  48.67%   5.30% { AdAh, AdAc, AhAc, KdKs, KhKs, KsKc, QdQh, QdQc, QhQc, 5d5h, 5d5c, 5h5c, AdQd, AhQh, AcQc, KsJs, KsTs, JsTs, Ks9s, Js9s, Ts9s, Ks8s, Js8s, Ts8s, 9s8s, Ks7s, Ks6s, Ad5d, Ah5h, Ac5c, AdKs, AhKs, AcKs, AdQh, AdQc, AhQd, AhQc, AcQd, AcQh, Ad5h, Ad5c, Ah5d, Ah5c, Ac5d, Ac5h, KsQd, KsQh, KsQc, KsJd, KsJh, KsJc, KsTd, KsTh, KsTc, Ks9d, Ks9h, Ks9c }

      I think that this might even be too optimistic.
      I guess this should be an easy fold in hindsight when we look at our equity? At the time I felt like shoving it in because I thought he would go broke with a lot of draws, worse 2prs and some AX.


      iPoker - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BB: $9.38 (VPIP: 36.36, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 11)
      UTG: $9.20 (VPIP: 14.29, PFR: 9.52, 3Bet Preflop: 12.50, Hands: 21)
      MP: $10.12 (VPIP: 17.65, PFR: 5.88, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 18)
      CO: $10.90 (VPIP: 13.95, PFR: 11.63, 3Bet Preflop: 4.35, Hands: 46)
      Hero (BTN): $10.00
      SB: $13.92 (VPIP: 26.67, PFR: 23.33, 3Bet Preflop: 22.22, Hands: 30)

      SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has A:diamond: Q:heart:

      fold, MP raises to $0.30, CO calls $0.30, Hero calls $0.30, fold, BB calls $0.20

      Flop: ($1.25, 4 players) A:spade: 5:spade: Q:spade:
      BB checks, MP bets $0.80, fold, Hero raises to $2.80, BB raises to $4.80, fold, Hero raises to $9.70 and is all-in, BB calls $4.28

      Turn: ($20.21, 2 players) 3:spade:

      River: ($20.21, 2 players) 9:club:

      BB shows 7:spade: K:spade: (Flush, Ace High) (Pre 40%, Flop 83%, Turn 91%)
      Hero shows A:diamond: Q:heart: (Two Pair, Aces and Queens) (Pre 60%, Flop 17%, Turn 9%)
      BB wins $18.87
      Hero wins $0.00
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Muel,

      Perflop: I think that we show a much bigger profit 3-betting this preflop as a semibluff. Playing OOP in a 3-4 way pot with an offsuite ace is not the greatest thing.

      Postflop: As played I would insta muck the flop when we get ck/3-bet by a potentially fishy guy.

      I doubt he has many pair+draw combos or even worse hands there.