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[NL20-NL50] AJo middle pair

    • GingerKid
      Joined: 05.08.2007 Posts: 5,588
      iPoker - $0.50 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      Hero (BB): 101.6 BB
      UTG: 120.88 BB (VPIP: 24.57, PFR: 17.18, 3Bet Preflop: 7.46, Hands: 596)
      CO: 126.18 BB (VPIP: 21.17, PFR: 18.25, 3Bet Preflop: 6.81, Hands: 2,043)
      BTN: 133.24 BB (VPIP: 28.85, PFR: 17.31, 3Bet Preflop: 3.77, Hands: 167)
      SB: 50.62 BB (VPIP: 36.11, PFR: 12.50, 3Bet Preflop: 8.57, Hands: 76)

      SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has J:spade: A:heart:

      fold, fold, fold, SB calls 0.5 BB, Hero raises to 4 BB, SB calls 3 BB

      Flop: (8 BB, 2 players) Q:heart: 7:diamond: 6:heart:
      SB checks, Hero bets 6 BB, SB calls 6 BB

      Turn: (20 BB, 2 players) 2:diamond:
      SB checks, Hero checks

      River: (20 BB, 2 players) J:heart:
      SB bets 9 BB, Hero calls 9 BB

      Hero shows J:spade: A:heart: (One Pair, Jacks) (Pre 45%, Flop 28%, Turn 14%)
      SB shows 8:heart: 8:spade: (One Pair, Eights) (Pre 55%, Flop 72%, Turn 86%)
      Hero wins 36.1 BB

      Is it ok to call river? flush completes, and he could bet with Qx, but also OESD missed, and maybe he turns into bluff middle pair
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      The River decision is close. I know you only have 76 hands but do you have any sort of sample on villain's fold to flop cbet? Having something like 0 out of 3 would help a lot for this decision. The wider his flop calling range and the higher his river aggression, the more you can lean towards a call.

      If he is just being very straight forward and folding a lot on the Flop then I think the river is a fold.