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[NL2-NL10] NL5 FR KTo river spot - bluff check/raise

    • Dawidas888
      Dawidas888
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Known Players:
      UTG2: $5.05 - 101 bb
      UTG3: $1.65 - 33 bb
      MP1: $2.50 - 50 bb
      MP2: $2.16 - 43 bb
      MP3: $9.04 - 181 bb
      CO: $11.09 - 222 bb
      BU: $5.00 - 100 bb
      SB: $12.18 - 244 bb
      BB: $5.00 - 100 bb

      0.02/0.05 No Limit Hold'em (9 Handed)
      Hand recorder for this hand: PokerStrategy.com SideKick 1.1.417.4

      Preflop: Hero is SB with K:spade: , T:heart:
      Hero posts small blind ($0.02), BB posts big blind ($0.05), 4 folds, MP3 raises for $0.13, 2 folds, Hero calls, BB folds

      Flop: ($0.31 - 6.20 bb) T:diamond: , 5:heart: , 3:spade: (2 Players)
      Hero checks, MP3 bets $0.24, Hero calls

      Turn: ($0.79 - 15.80 bb) 7:diamond: (2 Players)
      Hero checks, MP3 bets $0.54, Hero calls

      River: ($1.87 - 37.40 bb) 9:spade: (2 Players)
      Hero checks, MP3 bets $1.08, Hero raises for $3, MP3 folds, Hero gets uncalled back ($1.92)

      -----

      MP3 was 19/11/6 over 143.

      PREFLOP
      Should be a fold preflop. Or at least a 3bet.

      FLOP
      Somewhat big cbet but I have TP so a call.

      TURN
      Again, biggish cbet, so I should fold. It is likely he has OP/set. I don't think he value bets worse here.

      RIVER
      Was going to c/f but thought that my line looks kind of strongish so I could c/raise bluff.
      I could rep T9/99 or some slowplayed sets.
      I need this bluff to be profitable at least 50% of the times.
      I guess I do have some FE vs AT/QQ-JJ.

      So #1 fold preflop, #2 fold on the turn. Not sure about river.
  • 1 reply
    • w34z3l
      w34z3l
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,331
      Hey Dawidas888,

      Preflop is not a defend. Might just about be a bluff, but mainly just a fold. Vs a 19/11 MP guy even your bluffing range should be pretty strong if constructed well.

      I would check/call flop especially if villain has high cbet %.

      I would check/fold turn. Despite having TPGK you are likely behind villain's double-barreling range here.

      In theory I like river raise, looks very strong. You may slowplay sets on this texture. In practice I don't like it that much - nitty guy just fired three barrels at you, possibility he's not folding anything at all.