[NL2-NL10] NL10 SH Speed KJs

    • Alleen86
      Alleen86
      Platinum
      Joined: 27.05.2010 Posts: 4,707
      Known Players:
      MP2: $15,94 - 159 bb
      MP3: $10,00 - 100 bb
      CO: $6,73 - 67 bb
      BU: $3,58 - 36 bb
      SB: $10,00 - 100 bb
      BB: $1,50 - 15 bb

      0,05/0,10 No Limit Hold'em (6 Handed)
      Hand recorder for this hand: PokerStrategy.com SideKick 1.1.417.4

      Preflop: Hero is MP2 with K:diamond: , J:diamond:
      SB posts small blind ($0,05), BB posts big blind ($0,10), Hero raises for $0,30, MP3 folds, CO calls, BU folds, SB calls, BB folds

      Flop: ($1,00 - 10 bb) A:heart: , 9:spade: , 7:club: (3 Players)
      SB checks, Hero checks, CO checks

      Turn: ($1,00 - 10 bb) J:club: (3 Players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0,70, CO raises for $2,10, SB folds, Hero folds, CO gets uncalled back ($1,40)



      Hello!

      I decided to bet/fold the turn and am expecting them to fold air, pocket pairss and some middle pairs. So, I am betting there for value and protection, but I think I have to fold it after getting raised..

      CO: 12/9/4,0/35 (VPIP/PFR/AF/H)
      SB: 24/14/2,0/191 (VPIP/PFR/AF/H)
  • 6 replies
    • kymupa
      kymupa
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364
      Hello,

      You played the hand pretty good here.

      Once they all check the flop, I like leading out on the turn.
      When we face a raise from such a player though, to me this is a clear fold.

      Best,
      Plamen
    • GreenPiece
      GreenPiece
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.06.2010 Posts: 5,962
      No option with cbetting flop?
    • Alleen86
      Alleen86
      Platinum
      Joined: 27.05.2010 Posts: 4,707
      Generally, I think bluffing against two+ opponents is not a good idea, so checking the flop would be the best option, I think..
    • GreenPiece
      GreenPiece
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.06.2010 Posts: 5,962
      This board is somewhat dry, we're up against nit and one more opponent who seems to be capable of folding PPs or at least some equity share vs us. Imho we can bet here.
    • Dawidas888
      Dawidas888
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Hi GreenPiece

      If we bet 2/3 of the pot ($0.66) we need 66% equity.

      If both of these guys fold 80% of the times (which is optimistic) we have 64% fold equity (0.8*0.8). So a bet in itself is not profitable.

      If we had some equity (backdoors/overcards etc.) then our bet may not be such a huge mistake as we can still improve. However, this is not the case in this scenario.

      Hope this answers your question :f_grin:

      Dawidas
    • kymupa
      kymupa
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364
      Actually if we bet 2/3 pot we need 40% fold equity, not 66.
      It is calculated this way: we bet 66 cents to win $1, so we need 0.66/(1+0.66) which is 40%.

      To the topic, I don't really like betting here. We have a nitty guy and a reggy guy, I think they could both have some Ax in their ranges, as well as sets, and we do have almost none equity if we get called, so I would go with the check here.