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[NL2-NL10] NL5 FR AKo river spot - thin value bet

    • Dawidas888
      Dawidas888
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Known Players:
      UTG3: $17.43 - 349 bb
      MP1: $12.84 - 257 bb
      MP2: $3.23 - 65 bb
      MP3: $5.00 - 100 bb
      CO: $5.00 - 100 bb
      BU: $2.49 - 50 bb
      SB: $1.79 - 36 bb
      BB: $5.53 - 111 bb

      0.02/0.05 No Limit Hold'em (8 Handed)
      Hand recorder for this hand: PokerStrategy.com SideKick 1.1.417.4

      Preflop: Hero is MP1 with A:spade: , K:diamond:
      SB posts small blind ($0.02), BB posts big blind ($0.05), UTG3 folds, Hero raises for $0.20, 3 folds, BU calls, SB folds, BB calls

      Flop: ($0.62 - 12.40 bb) K:club: , J:spade: , 2:heart: (3 Players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.40, BU folds, BB calls

      Turn: ($1.42 - 28.40 bb) 9:heart: (2 Players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $1, BB calls

      River: ($3.42 - 68.40 bb) 3:heart: (2 Players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $2, BB raises for $3.93, Hero folds, BB gets uncalled back ($1.93)

      -----

      BB was 18/15/3 over 105.

      PREFLOP
      Value.

      FLOP
      Cbet for value.

      TURN
      Cbet for value again vs KQ/KT/AJ/QQ.

      RIVER
      Cbetting for value again.
      I know it's thin and I beat only KQ/KT at best.
      However, I expect him to raise 22/JJ/QT/KJ on the turn.
      When raised I doubt I'm ever ahead here so I fold (even though I need only about 20% equity).

      Is my value bet on the turn/river too thin?
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Dawidas,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: Given that the board is a bit dry we can expect him to slowplay some sets like JJ or 22 (6 combos max) and maybe some KJs (only 1 combo). But KQ is 8 combos and KT is 1 combo (I'd only count suited KT) so I think that we do have a valuebet.