[NL2-NL10] NL5 FR K4o river spot - value bet or not?

    • Dawidas888
      Dawidas888
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Known Players:
      MP2: $5.52 - 110 bb
      MP3: $4.69 - 94 bb
      CO: $1.98 - 40 bb
      BU: $5.42 - 108 bb
      SB: $5.11 - 102 bb
      BB: $12.50 - 250 bb

      0.02/0.05 No Limit Hold'em (6 Handed)
      Hand recorder for this hand: PokerStrategy.com SideKick 1.1.417.4

      Preflop: Hero is BB with K:diamond: , 4:spade:
      SB posts small blind ($0.02), Hero posts big blind ($0.05), MP2 folds, MP3 calls, 3 folds, Hero checks

      Flop: ($0.12 - 2.40 bb) K:club: , 6:club: , 4:heart: (2 Players)
      Hero bets $0.15, MP3 calls

      Turn: ($0.42 - 8.40 bb) T:club: (2 Players)
      Hero bets $0.40, MP3 calls

      River: ($1.22 - 24.40 bb) A:heart: (2 Players)
      Hero bets $0.80, MP3 folds, Hero gets uncalled back ($0.80)

      -----

      MP3 same guy from this hand - http://www.pokerstrategy.com/forum/thread.php?threadid=251672.
      Very similar situation.

      PREFLOP
      Freeplay.

      FLOP
      Value.

      TURN
      I think I still have a value bet here.

      RIVER
      I think I still have a value bet vs Kx but I reduced my bet size to allow weaker hands to call.
      Should I reduce my sizing more or could I c/c in this spot given the previous hand?
  • 2 replies
    • kymupa
      kymupa
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364
      Hello,

      I don't mind overbetting the flop here as long as you think villain won't care too much.

      On the turn I'd bet around $0.3.

      The river is ugly here since now it is much less likely worse hadns to be calling us here. I think that betting is fine though, but we should go for something like 1/3 pot, to encourage him calling with Kx, since I doubt he calls Kx for this sizing.
      Check/calling would be the worst option here since he is going to check all his weaker made hands and only bet his better.

      Best,
      Plamen
    • Dawidas888
      Dawidas888
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Hi kymupa

      Thanks for the evaluations!

      If we bet 1/3 and he raises it's an easy fold, right? I was thinking if it's possible that low bet induces him to bluffraise as some sort of a spazz.

      Dawidas