[NL2-NL10] NL5 FR 65s turn spot - estimation of implied odds

    • Dawidas888
      Dawidas888
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Known Players:
      UTG2: $5.90 - 118 bb
      UTG3: $6.14 - 123 bb
      MP1: $2.20 - 44 bb
      MP2: $12.28 - 246 bb
      MP3: $14.54 - 291 bb
      CO: $12.57 - 251 bb
      BU: $14.24 - 285 bb
      SB: $3.05 - 61 bb
      BB: $4.33 - 87 bb

      0.02/0.05 No Limit Hold'em (9 Handed)
      Hand recorder for this hand: PokerStrategy.com SideKick 1.1.417.4

      Preflop: Hero is BU with 6:heart: , 5:heart:
      SB posts small blind ($0.02), BB posts big blind ($0.05), 6 folds, Hero raises for $0.10, SB folds, BB calls

      Flop: ($0.22 - 4.40 bb) T:spade: , 9:heart: , 8:diamond: (2 Players)
      BB checks, Hero checks

      Turn: ($0.22 - 4.40 bb) 7:heart: (2 Players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.15, BB raises for $0.60, Hero calls

      River: ($1.42 - 28.40 bb) 3:club: (2 Players)
      BB bets $0.95, Hero folds, BB gets uncalled back ($0.95)

      -----

      BB was 16/6/0 over 62. Passive.

      PREFLOP
      Steal.

      FLOP
      Very connected, I have little equity.

      TURN
      Betting for value and protection.
      When raised I put him on Jx or QJ. I need 32% to call and I have 18% with my FD.
      However, I'm pretty sure my implied odds are big as my FD is deceptive, I'm IP and my opponent has a strong hand.

      RIVER
      Folding unimproved.
  • 1 reply
    • kymupa
      kymupa
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364
      Hello,

      I like the way you played the hand here.

      I think we can for sure call here being IP since we are likely to get value on the river if we hit our flush.

      When we don't improve, folding is fine.

      Best,
      Plamen