[NL2-NL10] NL5 FR 95o river spot - thin value bet

    • Dawidas888
      Dawidas888
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Known Players:
      UTG3: $4.17 - 83 bb
      MP1: $8.08 - 162 bb
      MP2: $1.95 - 39 bb
      MP3: $2.01 - 40 bb
      CO: $9.35 - 187 bb
      BU: $5.43 - 109 bb
      SB: $2.02 - 40 bb
      BB: $14.29 - 286 bb

      0.02/0.05 No Limit Hold'em (8 Handed)
      Hand recorder for this hand: PokerStrategy.com SideKick 1.1.417.4

      Preflop: Hero is BB with 9:diamond: , 5:diamond:
      SB posts small blind ($0.02), Hero posts big blind ($0.05), 6 folds, SB calls, Hero checks

      Flop: ($0.10 - 2 bb) 5:club: , 4:heart: , 4:diamond: (2 Players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.05, SB calls

      Turn: ($0.20 - 4 bb) 9:club: (2 Players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.15, SB calls

      River: ($0.50 - 10 bb) K:heart: (2 Players)
      SB checks, Hero checks

      -----

      BB was 18/8/1 over 389. Calling station.

      PREFLOP
      Freeplay.

      FLOP
      Value bet.

      TURN
      Value bet again.

      RIVER
      I was considering a bet for value vs 88-66 / 5x / 9x as he was a huge calling station.
      Was afraid of being trapped with 4x or Kx.
      I guess I could bet something like $0.25 on the river.
  • 2 replies
    • kymupa
      kymupa
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364
      Hello,

      I would rather bet like 7 cents on the flop here.

      On the turn your bet is fine.

      I think we could go for a smallish bet like 15-20 cents on the river. I think Kx is quite unlikely here but he could call us with weaker pairs.

      Best,
      Plamen
    • luizsilveira
      luizsilveira
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.11.2010 Posts: 2,320
      hmm.

      On a limped pot I'd pot flop and turn.

      I think it's a clear bet/fold river, especially if he is a calling station. He'll call you with any 5, 22, 33, 66-88, and maybe even Ax.

      The reasoning is simple: you need to win more than 1/2 of the time for your bet to be profitable. I don't think he'll have a K more than 1/2 the time he calls you there.

      (and thanks for not posting results)