[NL2-NL10] NL2 78s draw

    • overson
      Joined: 13.04.2008 Posts: 195
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.01/$0.02 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      BB (Hero):

      Preflop: Hero is BB with 8, 7.
      MP2 calls $0.02, MP3 folds, CO raises to $0.12, BU calls $0.12, SB calls $0.11, Hero calls $0.10, MP2 calls $0.10.

      Flop: ($0.6) T, 6, 3 (5 players)
      SB checks, Hero checks, MP2 checks, CO bets $0.28, BU calls $0.28, SB folds, Hero calls $0.28, MP2 folds.

      Turn: ($1.44) Q (3 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $0.70, BU raises to $1.46, Hero calls $1.46, CO folds.

      River: ($5.06) T (2 players)

      Final Pot: $5.06.

      I would rather raise or fold preflop, but maybe calling is best.

      On the flop I think raising is bad since a raise and a call is probably not folding(maybe one fold), but the odds are really close, I think its ok to call the flop.

      Turn: This is really close and tough, but it might be a fold since i need 29% equity to call and best case I have 27% BUT sometimes the 3rd player will call or raise(with a set?) which would lower the equity required to 25%, but I have 23% equity in that case, so it is always a fold with these pot odds?
  • 2 replies
    • kymupa
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364

      I prefer fold preflop.

      Same goes for the flop to me. We just have a gutshot, we are OOP and we would have hard time continuing here.

      The turn is always a fold here. We don't get the right pot odds, we have 0 implied odds, plus we don't always have the best draw here.

    • overson
      Joined: 13.04.2008 Posts: 195
      You're right about the flop, i was thinking i had 10:1 stack implied odds for a gutshot, but it has reverse implied odds too and i can't depend on the whole stack.