[NL2-NL10] NL5 FR JTo - triple barrel bluff

    • Dawidas888
      Dawidas888
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Known Players:
      UTG3: $3.19 - 64 bb
      MP1: $6.28 - 126 bb
      MP2: $2.40 - 48 bb
      MP3: $1.86 - 37 bb
      CO: $5.00 - 100 bb
      BU: $5.10 - 102 bb
      SB: $5.09 - 102 bb
      BB: $5.00 - 100 bb

      0.02/0.05 No Limit Hold'em (8 Handed)
      Hand recorder for this hand: PokerStrategy.com SideKick 1.1.417.4

      Preflop: Hero is BU with J:heart: , T:spade:
      SB posts small blind ($0.02), BB posts big blind ($0.05), 5 folds, Hero raises for $0.10, SB calls, BB folds

      Flop: ($0.25 - 5 bb) K:club: , 4:club: , 3:heart: (2 Players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.12, SB calls

      Turn: ($0.49 - 9.80 bb) 9:heart: (2 Players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.25, SB calls

      River: ($0.99 - 19.80 bb) 7:diamond: (2 Players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.50, SB folds, Hero gets uncalled back ($0.50)

      -----

      SB was 33/0/0 over 31.

      PREFLOP
      Stealing.

      FLOP
      Could have made a 3BB cbet. Less than 1/2 pot looks weak.

      TURN
      My equity improved with an added GS. I think I have FE vs 88-55 / random Ax.

      RIVER
      Many draws missed and my FE is better vs PPs so made a 3rd barrel.
  • 4 replies
    • cutegoldfish
      cutegoldfish
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.11.2009 Posts: 4,335
      flop - fine as played standard CB

      turn - we improved but i dont think hes folding that often but with a GS we dont need him to fold so often so betting is fine

      river - whatever he called flop and turn with is more likely a made hand than a draw and i dont think hes folding the river, we beat straight draws and the only thing folding here is busted club draws which i think is a small-moderate part of his range. if we want to fold flush draws with A or Q high a small bet is enough, maybe 30-40cents.
    • GreenPiece
      GreenPiece
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.06.2010 Posts: 5,962
      And what will you say about sizings on both flop & turn?
    • cutegoldfish
      cutegoldfish
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.11.2009 Posts: 4,335
      Flop - let's say he has AT, how big of a bet do you think he calls and how big do you think he folds? I'm thinking he calls something like 8 cents and folds to 13 cents which is half pot.

      How about a hand like 78? Probably folding to any bet but too small gives him the incentive to want to call. We wouldn't call here that doesn't mean he does not call too.

      Turn - let's look at a hand like 88, how much of a bet do you think he's folding? And calling? I'm guessing he's calling 1/3 pot but folding to larger than half pot bets. I don't expect 9x and Kx to fold here of course
    • GreenPiece
      GreenPiece
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.06.2010 Posts: 5,962
      And we're treating flop bet as an immediate bet, right, not planning to bet on the turn unless favorable card shows up? And it means we don't want to bet more than 13 cents in order to get them back from many folds on the turn? The same with turn, not much more than half pot given not so many hands folding and our weak draw (allowing to get more value on the river only in few cases)?