[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL50 Zoom KQ

    • DarkAwi
      DarkAwi
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 3,288
      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $66.51 (133 bb)
      SB: $69.38 (138.8 bb)
      BB: $69.02 (138 bb)
      UTG: $50 (100 bb)
      Hero (MP): $75.36 (150.7 bb)
      CO: $21.35 (42.7 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP with K Q
      UTG folds, Hero raises to $1.50, 2 folds, SB calls $1.25, BB calls $1

      Flop: ($4.50) T K 2 (3 players)
      SB checks, BB bets $3, Hero calls $3, SB raises to $9.50, BB folds, Hero calls $6.50

      Turn: ($26.50) 9 (2 players)
      SB bets $9.50, Hero calls $9.50

      River: ($45.50) 8 (2 players)
      SB bets $17.50, Hero calls $17.50

      45/12, fold to cbet:41, raise cbet:26, afq 50,39,37, wtsd 29, wsd 47, 1k hands

      How should we play this ~140bb deep?
  • 3 replies
    • w34z3l
      w34z3l
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,295
      Hey DarkAwi,

      Being slightly deep does not work in your favour with a reverse-implieds type hand like TPGK.

      Standard option is to fold to SB check-raise on the flop. He is repping a lot of strength here, mainly 2 pair sets.

      Yes, his raise cbet may look on the higher side but needs to be taken into context. Firstly if his cc range from blinds is tight this stat means a lot less. Secondly his bluff-raising frequency will likely go down in a 3 way pot anyway.
    • DarkAwi
      DarkAwi
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 3,288
      Tbh I was thinking about 3betting or just calling on the flop :D So you'd fold. Hmm, yeah, gonna be hard to play, as so many turn cards bad for us. If I called, what do you think about his betsizing? I felt it kinda weak, FD, AQ,AJ missed.
    • w34z3l
      w34z3l
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,295
      Originally posted by DarkAwi
      Tbh I was thinking about 3betting or just calling on the flop :D So you'd fold. Hmm, yeah, gonna be hard to play, as so many turn cards bad for us. If I called, what do you think about his betsizing? I felt it kinda weak, FD, AQ,AJ missed.
      Tough to get a read on his bet-sizing here. It's an amount that roughly sets up a river shove (although typically a larger bet would be used to set up 2/3rds river shove or so). A regular would bet larger with a flush-draw imo.

      Villains sizing is also exactly the same as his flop sizing. His stats look fishy over small sample also, so it may be an indicator his hand strength has not improved. It could also mean a number of others things just as, JQ going for value thinking the board is locked up, or perhaps some value hand not wanting to bet big because a draw got there.

      Assuming villain is not a good regular I'd expect most draws to go into his flatting range on the flop, and his raising range to be value heavy. This may or may not be the case, but it's the basic assumption I'd use here.