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[NL2-NL10] NL5 - KK, overpair vs raise on the flop

    • datalogg
      Joined: 13.05.2011 Posts: 31
      SB ($1.83)
      Hero ($4.93)

      Dealt to Hero K:heart: K:club:

      Hero raises to $0.20, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, SB calls $0.18, fold

      FLOP ($0.45) 2:spade: 8:club: 6:club:

      SB checks, Hero bets $0.30, SB raises to $0.70, Hero ?

      I have no stats for this villain, just had 10 hands and it was actually the first one he played.
      On a very similar situation I posted before, again with KK and facing a raise on the flop, but with a scary board of 789, I was told to fold because a lot of two-pair/set/straight were possible.
      Now, there are no made straights and two-pair are unlikely to have called preflop. So I think it is either a set or an overpair.
      There are more overpairs (99-QQ, 24 hands) than sets (9 hands) with this flop. But I don't know how often one could check-raise an overpair on the flop.
      So, raise again (actually put him all in on this occasion) or fold?
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Datalogg,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: In this particular case i think that we can go broke with the hand. He is quite short, we have a backdoor flush (5% equity) and you are correct that he can have worse hands raising.