[NL2-NL10] FRNL10 AA on wet board

    • PhoenixPhreak
      Joined: 15.04.2011 Posts: 335
      Full Tilt - $0.10 NL - Holdem - 9 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      UTG+2: $10.67 (VPIP: 16.67, PFR: 12.12, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 67)
      MP: $6.93 (VPIP: 37.68, PFR: 7.25, 3Bet Preflop: 3.03, Hands: 71)
      MP+1: $10.25 (VPIP: 13.19, PFR: 4.07, 3Bet Preflop: 2.29, Hands: 473)
      CO: $26.37 (VPIP: 26.26, PFR: 4.04, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 99)
      BTN: $2.11 (VPIP: 16.78, PFR: 8.70, 3Bet Preflop: 3.40, Hands: 721)
      Hero (SB): $10.00
      BB: $14.19 (VPIP: 57.89, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 19)
      UTG: $9.76 (VPIP: 18.88, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 143)
      UTG+1: $4.23 (VPIP: 21.74, PFR: 4.44, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 92)

      Hero posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has A:club: A:diamond:

      fold, fold, fold, MP calls $0.10, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.45, fold, MP calls $0.35

      Flop: ($1.00, 2 players) 9:club: A:heart: T:club:
      Hero bets $0.55, MP calls $0.55

      Turn: ($2.10, 2 players) K:heart:
      Hero bets $1.20, MP calls $1.20

      River: ($4.50, 2 players) 5:diamond:
      Hero bets $2.10, MP raises to $4.73 and is all-in, Hero calls $2.63

      This villain is very loose. Though he shows aggression at the end, I think I have enough equity to call (against possible two pair, lower set, or small chance of a missed draw bluff).

      The real problem is I think my flop and turn bets were to small and were allowing correct odds to flush and straight draws.
  • 3 replies
    • PhoenixPhreak
      Joined: 15.04.2011 Posts: 335
      Sorry, just realized I somehow posted this in the wrong part of the forum.
      Could someone move it to the regular Hand Evaluations instead of Short/Midstacks?
    • Benm473
      Joined: 17.08.2011 Posts: 85
      I think you can pot the flop and 3/4 the turn. I think he will give you max value on the flop always with that VPIP and the wetness of the board. The turn is another bet I think for me as there is so much crap that hasn't got there but can call another bet esp as you say any two pairs that he is NEVER folding.

      Not sure of the merit of not betting the river- maybe its good if he has more hands that he will bluff with here than he has value hands. His range is wide so maybe that is the case. I think the river shove here is nuts or bluff I think most value hands check potentially even lower sets.

      I think also due to the run out of the board that favours your range big time that he is more likely to shove the nuts even considering your read. I think I'm betting pot 2/3 and ai in on the river as I'm never folding but in the hands as played I feel sure he has a QX hand.
    • kymupa
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364

      Just bet bigger on both flop and turn and shove the river.
      Something like $0.75 on the flop, $1.5 on the turn.

      As played, I still do prefer shoving the river rather than betting half pot. I don't think his calling range would differ much and by betting only half pot we do miss value.