[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL50 KQs

    • dannywratten
      Joined: 11.05.2010 Posts: 1,462
      CO unknown, single tabling. So I assume him to be fishy.

      BU 41/14/22 hands

      Do you like squeezing for value? Thought it was a tad marginal with CO stack size.

      Assuming BU is fishy are you fine with B/B/B? river seemed a bit thin, he can have a few two pairs if he is loose.
      Don't expect TT 99 QJ so often since he just calls down. QQ JJ also fold river, so I thought about c/f but if he has some FD's I think I can't fold to a shove.

      Board: 6:spade: K:club: 9:club:  T:heart:  5:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    31.25%  25.00%   6.25% { KhQh }
      MP3    68.75%  62.50%   6.25% { AKs, KTs+, AcQc, AcJc, AKo }

      Not sure if this is a reasonable range. I didn't include sets or QJ since I expect them to raise. Also didn't include QQ JJ since they most likely check behind.

      BTN: $45.93 (91.9 bb)
      Hero (SB): $55.73 (111.5 bb)
      BB: $64.11 (128.2 bb)
      UTG: $44.34 (88.7 bb)
      MP: $13.75 (27.5 bb)
      CO: $25.85 (51.7 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with K Q
      2 folds, CO raises to $1.25, BTN calls $1.25, Hero raises to $5.50, 2 folds, BTN calls $4.25

      Flop: ($12.75) 6 K 9 (2 players)
      Hero bets $7, BTN calls $7

      Turn: ($26.75) T (2 players)
      Hero bets $14, BTN calls $14

      River: ($54.75) 5 (2 players)
      Hero bets $20, BTN folds

      $54.75 pot ($2.46 rake)
      Final Board: 6 K 9 T 5
      BTN mucked and lost (-$26.50 net)
      Hero mucked K Q and won $52.29 ($25.79 net)
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909
      Hey Danny,

      Wouldn't AK 4bet preflop in these positions?

      I think his calling range on the river is close to this:

      Board: K:club: 9:club: 6:spade:  T:heart:  5:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    50.05%  36.40%  13.65% { KhQc }
      MP3    49.95%  36.30%  13.65% { TT-99, KTs+, KJo+ }

      So you get to like a 0EV shove unless he calls like K8s pre. I think if you put a double float like the nut flushdraw, you might be better off check calling. It's not a big difference, plus he might not bluff all busted draws.