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[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL20, AQo, call or fold

    • zobupasts
      Joined: 10.04.2009 Posts: 310
      CO: $25.17
      BTN: $24.05
      SB: $20.30 - 31/24, 300 hands. Quite aggressive player. 3bets a lot from BU, SB, BB (24, 11, 13). Fold to cbet 17 (7). I have seen him squeeze AKo on BB when fishy UTG player opened, UTG called, on K76 villain didn't cbet and instead he c/raised allin. Also villain opened MP and called my squeeze from SB, called cbet on KsTs9, than bet/folded on turn card 3. And also I have seen him 3bet AJs on SB when MP opened and shove over MP's 4bet.
      BB: $11.54
      Hero (UTG): $20.00
      MP: $2.20 - fish

      Pre Flop: ($0.30) Hero is UTG with Q :club: A :spade:
      Hero raises to $0.60, MP calls $0.60, 2 folds, SB calls $0.50, 1 fold

      Flop: ($2.00) 8 :club: 4 :club: Q :diamond: (3 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $1.60, MP calls $1.60, SB raises to $19.70, Hero...

      Is this closer to calling or folding?

  • 2 replies
    • Tomaloc
      Joined: 17.01.2011 Posts: 7,015
      he's repping sets exclusively. on the other hand you have a Q which means he can't ship QcXc hands.

      i think he has some kind of good FD really often but when we are wrong we lose a lot, also this guy has proven capable of being tricky.
      in practice i just skip the variance spot, fold and see what he has :D we'll get to see his hand because of the fish.
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Zobu,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: Given how short the fish is I can see him doing this even with other Qx hands trying to push us out of the pot. Plus I doubt he'd play many better hands like this so for me it's an easy call.

      Sure it's higher variance short term but he isn't repping anything worth while and given the scenario he can have plenty worse.