Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
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Hero (BTN): $50 (100 bb)
SB: $64.71 (129.4 bb)
BB: $59.46 (118.9 bb)
UTG: $52.50 (105 bb)
MP: $58.20 (116.4 bb)
CO: $50 (100 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BTN with 9

9

2 folds,
CO raises to $1.25, Hero calls $1.25,
SB folds,
BB raises to $6.50,
CO folds,
Hero raises to $12,
BB raises to $59.46 and is all-in, Hero calls $38 and is all-in
First decision
I think this is standard flat vs reg
Second decision
CO opener has 72% F3bet, so this makes me a little likely to think that villain will have an incentive to squeeze light here.
This what a 7% range I think can look like here.
I don't see a reason for 3betting JJ/TT here as he can very rarely get them in as a favorite.
Against a range like this I make enough money when he folds to justify getting it in with 30-35% equity.
Third decision
Need 37% equity to BE on the call, I don't get that but as stated above, counting for the times he folds this is the best play I came so far for this hand.
Vs QQ/AK I have almost 36% equity to I'm in great shape.
Worst scenario is when villain 3bets for value range of TT+/AQ+ and ships it in.
Then I only have 31% equity
Equity Win Tie
MP2 31.19% 30.99% 0.21% { 99 }
MP3 68.81% 68.60% 0.21% { TT+, AKs, AKo }
If he ships in AQ+/TT+, over 37% equity which is awesome.
Equity Win Tie
MP2 37.26% 37.06% 0.20% { 99 }
MP3 62.74% 62.54% 0.20% { TT+, AQs+, AQo+ }
Bonus question
I think that squeezing JJ/TT to be a bad play since PFR would fold all but better and squeezer will have very good FE vs a typical cold caller range as well.
So, he can't get it in as a fav unless cold caller is defending aggressively, which is not usually happening on zoom nl 50.Which makes me look at JJ/TT as a bluff, and then Ax would work better.
Your opinion on this?