This site uses cookies to improve your browsing experience. By continuing to browse the website, you accept such cookies. For more details and to change your settings, see our Cookie Policy and Privacy Policy. Close

[NL20-NL50] NL20 AT TP. Bluffcatch river?

    • AchillesBG
      AchillesBG
      Silver
      Joined: 06.02.2011 Posts: 4,586
      Prima, $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      MP: $22.66 (113.3 bb)
      CO: $53.36 (266.8 bb)
      BTN: $20 (100 bb)
      SB: $20 (100 bb)
      Hero (BB): $24.95 (124.7 bb)
      UTG: $20.11 (100.6 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with A:diamond: T:spade:
      UTG calls $0.20, 2 folds, BTN raises to $0.80, SB folds, Hero calls $0.60, UTG calls $0.60

      Flop: ($2.50) A:spade: 9:diamond: K:diamond: (3 players)
      Hero bets $1.40, UTG calls $1.40, BTN folds

      Turn: ($5.30) J:club: (2 players)
      Hero bets $4, UTG calls $4

      River: ($13.30) J:spade: (2 players)
      Hero checks, UTG bets $13.89, Hero calls $13.89

      UTG - 75/0 23% agg.freq., 44% (18) river. 65hands
      BTN - 25/21 88% fold to 3bet over 240 hands

      Preflop, i think calling is fine. BTN is going to isolate the fish with a wide range and i think that my hand is too strong to turn into a bluff.

      On the flop i lead for value from the fish. The sizing is too small.

      I think the turn bet is fine.

      On the river, i split with Ax, so i decided to ch/c to get value from his busted draws.

      I think that this is close to the worst case scenario (a lot of value combos and not all FD`s):

      MP2 67.92% 67.92% 0.00% AJs, KJs, QTs+, J9s, Qd8d, Td8d, Qd7d, Td7d, 8d7d, Qd6d, 8d6d, 7d6d, Qd5d, 7d5d, 6d5d, Qd4d, 6d4d, 5d4d, Qd3d, 4d3d, Qd2d, AJo, KJo, QTo+, J9o
      MP3 32.08% 32.08% 0.00% AdTs
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Hi,

      2$ is a little better lead on the flop. I´m not sure if I bet turn. Betting turn would build the pot and most of the times you can´t go 3 street for value, so I would prefer c/c turn and c/c river.

      I would likely b/f river 6$, once you check and he shoves, fold seems a little better option, since I´m not sure he would shove his missed draws and mostly he is doing that for value

      best regards,