Somewhat similar hand but weaker draw:
2NL ZOOM - A7 sooted
And the opponent had the exact hand I wanted him to fold. But there were no 3 barrels there.
And one more from the test:
MP ($100.00) (35/10/1.0/28/650) [VPIP/PFR/AF/WTS/Hands]
Preflop: Hero is BB with A
, J
1 fold, MP calls $1.00, 3 folds, Hero raises to $5.50, MP calls $4.50, 1 fold
Flop: ($11.50) K
, T
, 6
(2 players)
Hero bets $9.00, MP calls $9.00
Turn: ($29.50) 8
(2 players)
Hero ?
The author suggests to barrel here but says c\c is very well possible. Obviously it's the strongest draw from all of 3 samples. But he doesn't say anything about our river play in case the opponent just calls.
I want to understand the fundamental difference...
1st sample (my hand): we have less pot equity on the turn as only one card left and fold equity doesn't increase neither. However at these stakes people rarely fire 3 barrels bluff and we still have around 8 outs, that's what I was thinking about when firing both turn & river.
2nd sample (hand in neighbor thread): pot equity increases but fold equity doesn't, I think we should have 3rd barrel in our plan if firing this turn, otherwise it's better to c\c or even c\f from turn.
3rd sample (hand from test): pot equity increases and now it's pretty significant with at least outs to FD and GS but fold equity doesn't, still we have option to barrel.
So from what I see... If our equity increases so that we have at least 8 outs we can consider betting, probably 2 streets, right? If our pot equity doesn't increase (and neither fold equity does) we are better off checking. What to do on the river in the sample from test and am I right about summary play on turn?