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[NL20-NL50] nl25 - low set vs c/s river

    • Knuclkles
      Joined: 29.08.2012 Posts: 333
      Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      SB: $30.93 (123.7 bb)
      BB: $10 (40 bb)
      UTG: $36.12 (144.5 bb)
      MP: $29.80 (119.2 bb)
      Hero (CO): $45.40 (181.6 bb)
      BTN: $28.29 (113.2 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with 4 4
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.75, BTN folds, SB calls $0.65, BB folds

      Flop: ($1.75) 8 A 9 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $1.25, SB calls $1.25

      Turn: ($4.25) 4 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $3, SB calls $3

      River: ($10.25) 6 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $5, SB raises to $25.93 and is all-in, Hero folds

      $20.25 pot ($0.91 rake)
      Final Board: 8 A 9 4 6
      SB mucked and won $19.34 ($9.34 net)
      Hero mucked 4 4 and lost (-$10 net)

      24/20 10k hands
      call open SB 6%
      fold to cbet F/T/R 53/26/29
      call cbet 34/59/50
      c/r F/T/R 6/4/7
      af 3.7/2.6/2.2

      note: bet vs missed gs+bd fd, chk river flush runner runner (he miss fd, hit str8)
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      Turn: I would just pot the Turn here on this super draw heavy board.

      River: I'm never folding here on the River as played. He doesn't rep too much, maybe he does value shove worse hands like A8/A9/A6. I think stronger sets are much likelier to raise either the Flop or Turn especially with these greater stack depths and also I don't see too many straight draws getting there unless he has 5:h7 or 5:s7