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[NL20-NL50] nl50 AA get flop raise vs fish

    • Kimifan93
      Joined: 25.02.2013 Posts: 395
      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $61.07 (122.1 bb)
      SB: $50.25 (100.5 bb)
      BB: $50.75 (101.5 bb)
      UTG: $83.15 (166.3 bb)
      MP: $85.01 (170 bb)
      Hero (CO): $52.18 (104.4 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with A A
      2 folds, Hero raises to $1.25, BTN calls $1.25, 2 folds

      Flop: ($3.25) 7 J 9 (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.50, BTN raises to $5, Hero calls $2.50

      Turn: ($13.25) 3 (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $6, Hero raises to $18, BTN raises to $54.82 and is all-in, Hero calls $27.93 and is all-in

      River: ($105.11) A (2 players, 2 are all-in)

      Villain:128 hands, 38/19/5.9, FoldToCbet: 6/8, Raise cbet: 0/8, Afq: 31,43,33, WTSD: 35, W$SD: 56 (ex small: 33 (6))

      I think flop play is std. What would you do on turn? This under halfpot bet seems to be probably a draw, or Jx maybe, but I don't think it can be a strong hand most of the time.
  • 2 replies
    • Tomaloc
      Joined: 17.01.2011 Posts: 7,015
      Originally posted by Kimifan93
      FoldToCbet: 6/8, Raise cbet: 0/8, Afq: 31,43,33, WTSD: 35, W$SD: 56 (ex small: 33 (6))
      quite sick when he seems to be reasonably tight-passive postflop, maybe wtsd is from some limped pots?

      anyway when this kind of guy does it i think this seems more like a fish "lure you in" line, also don't really think that he will play AJ like the nuts but i'm a station so i probably call/call/call on most non-spades hoping for some random draw. :f_biggrin:
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Kimi,

      Since we have such a huge fish behind we should look at raising bigger preflop.

      As played I would lean towards a bet/fold as nitty as it seems. Villain has not gotten out of line so far and seemed quite passive. This board has a ton of 2p and even made straights available so unless you have any reason to think that he is tilted (ex: we took some money from him recently or he got stacked) or that he can raise Jx I would look at folding.