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[NL20-NL50] nl50 JJ 3b pot get turn c/r AI

    • Kimifan93
      Joined: 25.02.2013 Posts: 395
      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $52.93 (105.9 bb)
      SB: $50 (100 bb)
      BB: $53.93 (107.9 bb)
      MP: $50 (100 bb)
      Hero (CO): $50.75 (101.5 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with J J
      MP folds, Hero raises to $1.25, BTN folds, SB raises to $4, BB folds, Hero calls $2.75

      Flop: ($8.50) 7 9 4 (2 players)
      SB bets $5, Hero calls $5

      Turn: ($18.50) 8 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $10, SB raises to $41 and is all-in, Hero calls $31

      River: ($100.50) 9 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

      Villain: 64 hands, 19/19/9.1, F cbet: 3/4

      I didn't want to stack off pre w JJ vs an unknown, I think I can do it more + EV postflop. Flop std, or should I raise against unknown reg? I don't think so. What should I do on turn? I may get value from fd-s (+ pair), TT, T9s and make fold any equity like AQ, KQ etc., so I defenetely think it's a value bet, maybe 13$ is better. But what about this push? Can I fold here? What can be his range here?

      Board: 7c 9d 4d 8h

      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 68.821% 67.05% 01.78% 944 25.00 { TT+, 88, AdKd, AdQd, KdJd, JTs }
      Hand 1: 31.179% 29.40% 01.78% 414 25.00 { JdJh }

      I put every overpairs, 3 sets because I think he barrels them usually and some stronger fd-s. It must be a call if it's ok, but I don't know if I have to put in all sets or all strong fd-s. How do you make an unknown player's range here?
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Kimi,

      Preflop: VIllain does 3-bet given the small sample and I think that 5 handed, in these positions he will be really wide. So value in your 4-bet comes mostly from the dead money you collect and when you stack off you'll be at least around break even.

      So that would be my default play

      Postflop: As played it's close but I'd expect villain to play draws and even TT like this so we can't really fold. I would also add other suited Ax or Kx to his semibluffs.