[NL20-NL50] AKo 4bet cold vs sqz

    • GingerKid
      GingerKid
      Black
      Joined: 05.08.2007 Posts: 5,530
      iPoker - $0.50 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      Hero (BB): 114.58 BB
      UTG: 100 BB (VPIP: 18.85, PFR: 16.39, 3Bet Preflop: 6.54, Hands: 373)
      MP: 145.72 BB (VPIP: 21.63, PFR: 16.07, 3Bet Preflop: 8.33, Hands: 2,929)
      CO: 116.86 BB (VPIP: 22.65, PFR: 19.66, 3Bet Preflop: 6.99, Hands: 476)
      BTN: 117 BB (VPIP: 14.29, PFR: 10.20, 3Bet Preflop: 5.88, Hands: 53)
      SB: 70.74 BB (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 20.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 5)

      SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K:spade: A:diamond:

      UTG raises to 3 BB, MP calls 3 BB, CO raises to 12 BB, fold, fold, Hero raises to 28 BB, fold, fold, fold

      Hero shows K:spade: A:diamond: ()
      Hero wins 30.5 BB


      I was not sure if I should fold? UTg opens 17%, MP 3bets 4% vs utg, CO 3bets 3% vs utg. I 4bet because there is so much dead money, and maybe CO folds sometimes QQ, JJ.
  • 2 replies
    • Tomaloc
      Tomaloc
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.01.2011 Posts: 6,858
      folding seems best, utg open% seems to be inaccurate as any remotely reasonable player won't have a utg open bigger than pfr.

      4betting seems quite -EV given so much nitting involved, specially given that you have only invested 1BB into the pot. :P
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi GingerKid,

      Preflop:I think that if CO is tighter and your image is not too loose you can get away with your 4-bet here and get him to fold a split (AK) or even some pairs like TT-JJ and maybe QQ.

      However, your 4-bet has to work 59% of the time so assuming COs range is JJ+, AQs+, AKo then he has 30 combos total (after card removal).

      From those 30, KK, AA, AKs are 8 combos, QQ is 6 so it's enough for him to fold JJ/AKo/AQs for us to be close to breakeven (16/30 FE = 53%). So if he ever has some bluffs or folds QQ or AKs we are golden.