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[NL20-NL50] sh nl 50 JJ call 3b UTG

    • DeMarcohsp
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (UTG): $54.53 (109.1 bb)
      MP: $51 (102 bb)
      CO: $62.32 (124.6 bb)
      BTN: $52.25 (104.5 bb)
      SB: $134.97 (269.9 bb)
      BB: $50 (100 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with J J
      Hero raises to $1.50, MP folds, CO raises to $4.50, 3 folds, Hero calls $3

      Flop: ($9.75) 8 8 T (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $6, Hero calls $6

      Turn: ($21.75) 7 (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $12, Hero ???

      Opponent has 3.4% 3bet in CO

      Those stats would mean that villain has 35% of his 3betting range when betting the turn. Ofc with his range being much stronger here he could easily be betting half of his 3 betting range which should be QQ+.
      Other points
      -turn card is not changing much so I think he should be less inclined to continue with his bluffs
      -I have 40 Fcbet 3BP and 50 FDB 3BP if he looks at these stats.
      -I would prolly fold QQ as well and only continue with my slowplayed combos of AA/KK and TT
  • 1 reply
    • cutegoldfish
      Joined: 19.11.2009 Posts: 4,335
      pre flop - he has a very strong range here when he 3bets UTG from CO, possibly tighter than the stats you are seeing since it includes CO vs MP 3bets.

      flop - i think we must call at least once here if we deicded to call pre flop, why did we call pre flop? we thought we could be ahead some of the times and he could barrel many flops

      turn - not sure here, he could still barrel some bluffs, but he does not have so many bluffs in his range and they usually have good equity like flush draws and straight draws. I think we are behind here and since we are also oop i like folding.