[NL20-NL50] NL25 A9s Poor Turn Play

    • PhoenixPhreak
      Joined: 15.04.2011 Posts: 335
      The villain had played a 'small' sample, but being loose I saw he was incredibly loose-passive.

      Full Tilt - $0.25 NL - Holdem - 8 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      UTG+1: $25.35 (VPIP: 10.21, PFR: 7.07, 3Bet Preflop: 2.08, Hands: 805)
      MP: $8.74 (VPIP: 37.50, PFR: 1.92, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 106)
      MP+1: $31.86 (VPIP: 10.69, PFR: 8.93, 3Bet Preflop: 4.24, Hands: 456)
      Hero (CO): $47.38
      BTN: $16.66 (VPIP: 30.67, PFR: 5.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 76)
      SB: $10.00 (VPIP: 18.98, PFR: 17.52, 3Bet Preflop: 6.25, Hands: 137)
      BB: $25.35 (VPIP: 12.82, PFR: 9.28, 3Bet Preflop: 3.64, Hands: 911)
      UTG: $12.33 (VPIP: 58.62, PFR: 26.44, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 88)

      SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) Hero has A:diamond: 9:diamond:

      UTG calls $0.25, fold, MP calls $0.25, fold, Hero raises to $1.30, fold, fold, fold, fold, MP calls $1.05

      With late position versus two very loose players I decide to iso-raise with a 3x+1x+1x raise.

      Flop: ($3.20, 2 players) T:club: 8:diamond: 5:diamond:
      MP checks, Hero bets $2.00, MP calls $2.00

      MP has folded to a c-bet 62% of the time. I also have a medium/strong draw with the nut flush draw, an A, and a weak backdoor straight. When the villain calls I put him on a wide range including strong hands like 55, 88, TT, AT, as well as many weaker hands like T9, T8, well, basically any T or any 8. He could also be calling with any other two diamonds. I bet just under 2/3rds the pot as a bluff against any single pairs, lower pocket pairs, or even hands that currently beat me like AJ or AQ. I am also betting for value against any flush draws that would definitely call and are currently behind me, such as KQs or K9s.

      Turn: ($7.20, 2 players) K:spade:
      MP checks, Hero bets $5.50, MP calls $5.44 and is all-in

      When the villain calls the flop I think it shows that he likes his hand. It could be the draw for the flush which I am still ahead of, but I think his range is much more likely to be some made hand.

      The turn bet was another semi-bluff versus any single pair T or 8 by representing a stronger pocket pair or having hit the K and I thought that my other equity with the flush draw would make it a +ev bet. The calling range he would have would be something like T8, 88, TT, 55, KT, or 7d9d, Jd9d, Kd9d+.

      Looking back at his likely range, I think the turn bet was a mistake. I could easily keep the pot small since I have only a little equity, I should have checked behind. I was worried that if I checked behind and hit the diamond on the river my hand would be obvious and I would likely not get any more value, but I think this doesn't outway how behind I already am, and also puts too much confidence in the villains game. If I do hit I will still likely get a number of hands to call.
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