[NL2-NL10] NL10 SH, TP/TK on mono 3-way flop

    • dienaszaglis
      dienaszaglis
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.06.2008 Posts: 999
      $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Holdem
      PokerStars
      5 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      Stacks:
      HERO (UTG) ($10.25) 103bb
      CO ($10.15) 102bb
      BTN ($11.72) 117bb
      SB ($10.56) 106bb
      BB ($10) 100bb 21/14, 3B: 15, AF: 2.4, 120h

      Pre-Flop: ($0.15, 5 players) HERO is UTG A:heart: K:diamond:
      HERO raises to $0.30, 2 folds, SB calls $0.25, BB calls $0.20

      Flop: Q:spade: 6:spade: K:spade: ($0.90, 3 players)
      SB checks, BB bets $0.70, HERO calls $0.70, SB folds

      Turn: 5:club: ($2.30, 2 players)
      BB bets $1.80, HERO?

      PRE
      Standard.

      FLOP
      His donking range here is A:sQx, 66, KQ, flushes. I don`t think he`s leading with single A Folding on the flop might be too weak, but not too bad.

      TURN
      He`s never playing worse hands this way, it`s a fold for me.
  • 6 replies
    • GreenPiece
      GreenPiece
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.06.2010 Posts: 5,962
      I think he would continue to bet everything of some value on this blank (vs draws mainly), AQ, KQ, 66, maybe some AK in his range, maybe some flushes but with nut flush he would wait for some action from you I think, not many worse hands will pay but may fire at least one barrel here. So I think we can call here one more time.
    • dienaszaglis
      dienaszaglis
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.06.2008 Posts: 999
      He`s not donking into 2 players and 2-barreling with much worse.
      I doubt he would play AQ without A this way. Also, he would 3-bet AK pre-flop.

      Can`t see a call on the turn. Also, he`s not that aggressive.
    • GreenPiece
      GreenPiece
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.06.2010 Posts: 5,962
      AK is a small issue for us :) Imagine yourself on his place, would you play the same way with monsters? Would you donk A :spade: x :spade: into PFA or rather wait for some action? And what would you do with AQ?
    • dienaszaglis
      dienaszaglis
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.06.2008 Posts: 999
      Well, he might donk smaller flushes, as my range hits this board pretty well. As well as 66, KQ:


      Board: Q:spade: 6:spade: K:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    72.94%  71.77%   1.17% { 66, JsTs, AsQd, AsQh, AsQc }
      MP3    27.06%  25.89%   1.17% { AhKd }


      What range would you assign for him?
    • GreenPiece
      GreenPiece
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.06.2010 Posts: 5,962
      My range is a little bit more optimistic:

      Board: Q:spade: K:spade: 6:spade:  5:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      SB     67.31%  67.31%   0.00% { 66, KJs+, JsTs, Ts9s, 9s8s, AsQd, AsQh, AsQc }
      BB     32.69%  32.69%   0.00% { AhKd }


      Though I don't know whether he would have many KQs, KJs in this range (we raised UTG, he will be dominated often) but I think it's possible. And we don't know how he would play his AQ, mayhap with 3bet preflop? Agree to you, very marginal spot, if his sizing was smaller we would be closer to call but with what is present it's closer to fold.
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Hi,

      If you´re beat then against KQ or 66. Don´t think he would lead too often with flush, but he can always lead with just A high flushdraw or pair+flushdraw.

      I would call turn and likely call on blank river (although I think he would often shut down is he has just draw) and he can always bet twice KxJs/KxTs/QxJs/QxAs that he would check on the river

      best regards,