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[NL2-NL10] [SH] Two pair overplay?

    • GreenPiece
      GreenPiece
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.06.2010 Posts: 5,962
      PokerStars - $0.02 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players

      BTN: 210.5 BB (VPIP: 100.00, PFR: 50.00, 3Bet Preflop: 50.00, Hands: 2)
      Hero (SB): 100 BB
      BB: 144.5 BB (VPIP: 66.67, PFR: 33.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 3)
      UTG: 197.5 BB (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 2)
      MP: 90.5 BB (VPIP: 14.29, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 7)
      CO: 101.5 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 2)

      Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A:diamond: 8:heart:

      UTG calls 1 BB, fold, fold, BTN calls 1 BB, Hero raises to 6 BB, fold, UTG calls 5 BB, fold

      Flop: (14 BB, 2 players) 5:diamond: 8:club: A:spade:
      Hero bets 7.5 BB, UTG raises to 15 BB, Hero calls 7.5 BB

      Turn: (44 BB, 2 players) 9:club:
      Hero checks, UTG bets 25 BB, Hero raises to 79 BB and is all-in, UTG calls 54 BB

      One more hand from the lowest limit during the time I made experiments with PT4. I think I overplayed it even on this limit.

      Say we have smth like this:

      Board: 5:diamond: 8:club: A:spade:  9:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      SB     73.74%  72.98%   0.76% { AA, 88, 55, A5s, 76s, A5o, 76o }
      BB     26.26%  25.51%   0.76% { Ad8h }


      To make my play break even we need simple TP hands, at least one:

      Board: 5:diamond: 8:club: A:spade:  9:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      SB     60.26%  58.90%   1.36% { AA, 88, 55, A6s-A5s, 76s, A6o-A5o, 76o }
      BB     39.74%  38.38%   1.36% { Ad8h }


      Was it optimistic?
  • 3 replies