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[NL2-NL10] Call on river?

    • Edukator99
      Joined: 18.07.2010 Posts: 240
      PokerStars - $0.02 NL FAST - Holdem - 9 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      Hero (BTN): 307.5 BB
      SB: 100 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 3)
      BB: 50 BB (VPIP: 8.33, PFR: 4.17, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 24)
      UTG: 100 BB (VPIP: 17.46, PFR: 11.11, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 127)
      UTG+1: 132.5 BB (VPIP: 18.52, PFR: 3.70, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 27)
      UTG+2: 62 BB (VPIP: 18.18, PFR: 9.09, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 22)
      MP: 239.5 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 3)
      MP+1: 70 BB (VPIP: 100.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 1)
      CO: 252.5 BB (VPIP: 8.75, PFR: 6.25, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 81)

      SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q:diamond: A:club:

      fold, fold, fold, fold, MP+1 calls 1 BB, fold, Hero raises to 4 BB, fold, fold, MP+1 calls 3 BB

      Flop: (9.5 BB, 2 players) J:diamond: 2:diamond: A:spade:
      MP+1 checks, Hero bets 6 BB, MP+1 calls 6 BB

      Turn: (21.5 BB, 2 players) J:heart:
      MP+1 checks, Hero bets 10 BB, MP+1 calls 10 BB

      River: (41.5 BB, 2 players) 5:heart:
      MP+1 bets 15 BB, Hero calls 15 BB

      Pre flop I called with AQo...normally I'd raise but I have no information on the villain so I thought, since I'm on the button I'd try calling to see what the flop looks like. I'm folding if I don't hit it.

      The flop looks good for me. Unless he has AK, AJ, I should be ok. He checked which made me think he'd missed the flop. When he called I still felt good until the second jack hit.

      I was worried he might have Jx. I think it is very likely he has Ax though. He checked so I bet 1/2 pot thinking he was actually giving up but, since there was minimal chance he was on a draw thought that would be enough. When he called I thought if very likely he had Jx, maybe AJ, but could also have any other A.

      When he bet the river I used almost all my time thinking. Why does he bet out? I couldn't see how he'd bet without a J but his betsize was small, so on the chance he had Ax I called.

      If the betsize was bigger I'm folding. Any value in calling here? All those Ax hands that are possible made me think it might be worth a shot.
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Edukator,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: I think that you should bet larger on the turn and bet/fold. There are a lot more Ax and draws than Jx in his range.

      As played the river would be a call for me as well as that can be a cheap bluff with missed draw or a block bet.