[NL2-NL10] [SH] River OOP

    • GreenPiece
      Joined: 03.06.2010 Posts: 5,962
      PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players

      Hero (SB): 100 BB
      BB: 102.4 BB (VPIP: 100.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 2)

      Hero posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has J:heart: K:club:

      fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, BB calls 2 BB

      Flop: (6 BB, 2 players) K:spade: 2:diamond: 6:spade:
      Hero bets 3.6 BB, BB calls 3.6 BB

      Turn: (13.2 BB, 2 players) Q:spade:
      Hero bets 8 BB, BB calls 8 BB

      River: (29.2 BB, 2 players) T:diamond:
      Hero bets 9 BB, BB raises to 20 BB, fold

      I'm not satisfied with my play here.
      I thought his range by the river could be smth like this:

      Board: K:spade: 2:diamond: 6:spade:  Q:spade:  T:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      SB     50.86%  48.28%   2.59% { KcJh }
      BB     49.14%  46.55%   2.59% { JJ, KdKs, KhKs, KsKc, K2s+, AsKs, AsQs, AsJs, QsJs, AsTs, QsTs, JsTs, As9s, Qs9s, Js9s, Ts9s, As8s, Qs8s, Js8s, Ts8s, 9s8s, As7s, Qs7s, Js7s, Ts7s, 9s7s, 8s7s, As6s, Qs6s, Js6s, Ts6s, 9s6s, 8s6s, 7s6s, As5s, Qs5s, 6s5s, As4s, Qs4s, 6s4s, As3s, Qs3s, 6s3s, As2s, Qs2s, 6s2s, KdQs, KhQs, KcQs, KdJs, KhJs, KcJs, KdTs, KhTs, KcTs, Kd9s, Kh9s, Kc9s, Kd8s, Kh8s, Kc8s, Kd7s, Kh7s, Kc7s, Kd6s, Kh6s, Kc6s, QdJs, QhJs, QcJs, JdTs, JhTs, JsTd, JsTh, JsTc, JcTs }

      Of course not sure he defends all suited kings, not sure I have even a thin value bet here which probably might induce his raise, and felt pretty bad when folded it.
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694

      Turn: This looks thin - Villain needs to be on the looser side to justify betting here.

      River: I think it's now time to check/fold. There's no more value to be had, and worse KX hands probably just check back on the River, leaving only stronger made hands which are going to bet.

      Based on your equity calculation, you barely have 50% equity and you said you were being optimistic. So it should be really clear to you that there's no value.

      Your small blocker bet could very well have induced a bluff as well. You should not make such plays unless you know the opponent is passive or unless you did that with the intetino of calling a raise after inducing.