[NL20-NL50] AJs 3bet pot cbet

    • double2
      Joined: 04.11.2008 Posts: 14,642
      Poker Stars, 0.50/1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      SB: 100.50 (100.5 bb)
      Hero (BB): 163.26 (163.3 bb)
      MP: 29.78 (29.8 bb)
      CO: 273.45 (273.5 bb)
      BTN: 100 (100 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with J A
      2 folds, BTN raises to 2, SB folds, Hero raises to 8, BTN calls 6

      Flop: (16.50) 8 7 T (2 players)
      14k hands
      open BU 48%
      fold to 3bet BU 71%
      4bet range BU 7.6%
      fold to cbet in 3b pot flop/turn 39/45
      WTSD 26%
      WWSF 46%
      Agg freq 46/31/29

      Not sure if I should bet or c/f...
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909

      Quite an ugly spot.. but I think it's a check/fold more.. if he had slightly higher Foldvs Cbet I'd be OK with cbetting the gutshot but if he is ever calling when he has just a gutshot or OESD that is behind AJ high, we lose too often and he looks like definitely the non-folding type. WTSD shows you could make him fold by the river but just not a good board + hand combo.