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[NL20-NL50] AQ SBbb vs raise cbet

    • double2
      Joined: 04.11.2008 Posts: 14,642
      Poker Stars, 0.50/1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (SB): 113.75 (113.8 bb)
      BB: 112.50 (112.5 bb)
      CO: 84.50 (84.5 bb)
      BTN: 135.26 (135.3 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with Q A
      2 folds, Hero raises to 3, BB calls 2

      Flop: (6) 4 Q 2 (2 players)
      Hero bets 4, BB raises to 11, Hero calls 7

      Turn: (28) 7 (2 players)
      Hero checks, BB bets 18, Hero calls 18

      River: (64) K (2 players)
      Hero checks, BB bets 38, Hero folds

      12k hands
      call/3bet/fold BB vs SB 31/13/53
      fold to cbet flop IP 44%
      raise cbet flop IP 13%
      after raise flop bet turn -> 72% (18)
      WTSD 22%
      WWSF 42%
      Agg freq 38/33/30

      His agg freq river makes me hate my play, but he's not that aggro...
  • 2 replies
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      You should probably call the river. I dont see how the king actually helps his range. I doubt he ever raises KQ here since he is tight and probably doesnt have a merged flop raising range.

      I think the king makes it likelier for him to bluff and my guess is that if he has KsXs he would check back the river.

    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909

      Your hand is probably strong enough to also 3bet and get it but I don't mind just flatting if you have no other dynamic with him. His raise flop cbet should be a lot higher BvB than in other spots.

      As played, you have to call down on those blanks imo.. If he has Kx with spades and bets like this, he has Ax with spades that missed as well very likely.. KQ completed ofc but how likely does he raise that on the flop? If he does, you should be evem more inclined to 3bet since he has a wider range for value of made hands. I would expect some AQ, KQ and mostly flushdraws to stack off.