[NL2-NL10] NL5 FR KK river spot - check/fold

    • Dawidas888
      Dawidas888
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Known Players:
      MP1: $5.00 - 100 bb
      MP2: $12.66 - 253 bb
      MP3: $3.12 - 62 bb
      CO: $3.61 - 72 bb
      BU: $5.21 - 104 bb
      SB: $3.51 - 70 bb
      BB: $1.78 - 36 bb

      0.02/0.05 No Limit Hold'em (7 Handed)
      Hand recorder for this hand: PokerStrategy.com SideKick 1.1.508.2

      Preflop: Hero is MP2 with K:heart: , K:diamond:
      SB posts small blind ($0.02), BB posts big blind ($0.05), MP1 folds, Hero raises for $0.20, 2 folds, BU calls, 2 folds

      Flop: ($0.47 - 9.40 bb) Q:diamond: , J:club: , 4:club: (2 Players)
      Hero bets $0.35, BU calls

      Turn: ($1.17 - 23.40 bb) 8:diamond: (2 Players)
      Hero bets $0.90, BU calls

      River: ($2.97 - 59.40 bb) A:spade: (2 Players)

      -----

      BU was 11/7/2 over 202. FtCB - 80.

      RIVER
      I think it's an easy check/fold on the river as the guy seems very tight and whatever he called me with on the flop or turn has either had me beat or improved to beat me on the river.
  • 3 replies
    • cutegoldfish
      cutegoldfish
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.11.2009 Posts: 4,335
      If the board was dry I like check folding the river but this board has straight draws and double flush draws and I only expect 2pair and Ax to bet on the river and there could be many busted flush draws and with KK its the strongest bluff catcher we have so ill check call river. Bad news though is that 9T and TK completed straight.

      I expect sets 2p and 9T to raise by the turn so I think his range has more draws
    • Dawidas888
      Dawidas888
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Hi cutegoldfish

      Thanks for the evaluation!

      I'm not sure what do we beat by bluffcatching. The guy is 11/7 so it's more likely he has a set/2pair on the river rather than a busted FD.

      Also, there's only 5 combos of busted club draws that we beat (KQ / 98 / 87 / 76 / 65) and his FtCB suggests he doesn't chase backdoors.

      Hands we lose to - QQ/JJ/88/AQ/T9s (I assume he would 3bet AA though that's not a given. I doubt he would call with KTs as well) - 22 combos.

      I'm not sure if he would raise a set/2pair on the turn as I usually have a rather aggro image and he is very passive.

      Therefore, I'm still up for a check/fold :f_grin:

      David
    • cutegoldfish
      cutegoldfish
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.11.2009 Posts: 4,335
      i agree with your analysis except im pretty sure that hes raising sets and 2p on this board because its so wet.

      with my read on his turn call, i think the call is correct since he has little nut combos on the river.

      if i were to be wrong, then folding is probably best, but would be bet a set on the river? or be afraid and check it back?