[NL2-NL10] nl4 - anon - QQ

    • gAsheks
      Joined: 11.11.2012 Posts: 1,580
      Prima, $0.02/$0.04 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players

      MP: $4.26 (106.5 bb)
      CO: $4 (100 bb)
      BTN: $7.96 (199 bb)
      SB: $5.82 (145.5 bb)
      Hero (BB): $4.06 (101.5 bb)
      UTG: $4.22 (105.5 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with Q Q
      UTG folds, MP raises to $0.12, 3 folds, Hero raises to $0.40, MP calls $0.28

      Flop: ($0.82) 9 T 4 (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.44, MP calls $0.44

      Turn: ($1.70) 9 (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.96, MP raises to $2.04, Hero ??

      What options do we got there? Opponent was quite tight and wasnt going out of line. (My assumption, no HUD)
  • 4 replies
    • cutegoldfish
      Joined: 19.11.2009 Posts: 4,335
      The board is pretty dry I don't expect him to be raising with 9x or full house and maybe AA to JJ could raise but I think its unlikely too.so that leaves us with a majority draw heavy range like KQ JQ and some overpairs and I think we can go all in.
    • dienaszaglis
      Joined: 12.06.2008 Posts: 999

      I simply don`t expect, that villain is capable of semi-bluffing on a paired turn with that sizing. Especially in 3-bet pot. We block a lot of draws as well.

      Also, there are basically no 9x in his 3-bet calling range, however I think it`s not that unlikely for him to min-raise trips/boat on the turn.

      JJ is also possible.

      Anyway, do you think, folding the turn would be a mistake?
    • cutegoldfish
      Joined: 19.11.2009 Posts: 4,335
      It depends on his post flop tendencies. If he's wide and aggressive then folding this is a big mistake. If he has been generally passive, then Itthink he would have more nutted hands on his range, though unlikely, but it's more unlikely that he check raises with them.

      So no folding is not a big mistake against a tight passive guy
    • CPallo
      Joined: 12.04.2012 Posts: 4,343
      I myself see this spot as a fold. If he is tight and not out of line, it usually means they have quite strong range after flop call. It's a 3-bet pot and people just don't raise turns on this level as a bluff (Regs at least). If he is tight, raisin this turn, then he should have rather nutted range there more than draws, at least.

      OFC, without HUD it's a bad spot to tell whether your observations are right or not..