[NL20-NL50] FR NL50 SB KQ vs BTN Steal

    • PhoenixPhreak
      Joined: 15.04.2011 Posts: 335
      Full Tilt - $0.50 NL - Holdem - 8 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      MP: $27.35 (VPIP: 31.82, PFR: 5.45, 3Bet Preflop: 4.76, Hands: 112)
      MP+1: $90.30 (VPIP: 16.67, PFR: 12.50, 3Bet Preflop: 2.13, Hands: 146)
      CO: $53.30 (VPIP: 20.16, PFR: 12.90, 3Bet Preflop: 10.20, Hands: 124)
      BTN: $50.00 (VPIP: 27.27, PFR: 13.90, 3Bet Preflop: 2.70, Hands: 188)
      Hero (SB): $75.40
      BB: $65.50 (VPIP: 11.30, PFR: 6.09, 3Bet Preflop: 2.86, Hands: 115)
      UTG: $35.55 (VPIP: 26.79, PFR: 16.07, 3Bet Preflop: 5.56, Hands: 58)
      UTG+1: $50.00 (VPIP: 15.25, PFR: 11.86, 3Bet Preflop: 2.56, Hands: 119)

      Hero posts SB $0.25, BB posts BB $0.50

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.75) Hero has K:heart: Q:club:

      fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to $1.50, Hero raises to $4.25, fold, BTN calls $2.75

      This Villain has open raised the button the last three orbits, so I am playing back at him a bit. His FT3B is 50% and I believe his calling range is behind my hand. If 4B I'd have to give it up, but his open raising range is so wide I think this is will only happen a small amount of the time.

      Flop: ($9.00, 2 players) 4:diamond: 9:heart: T:diamond: Hero bets $5.50, BTN calls $5.50

      As normal I C-Bet. I want to get any pocket pairs below a 9 to fold, as well as possibly AX hands below A9. It is a semi-bluff as well with the gut shot and two over cards.

      Turn%s: ($20.00, 2 players) J:diamond: Hero bets $14.00, BTN calls $14.00

      This is a dangerous card. But I want to bet getting any value from weaker hands such as sets, pairs or two pairs. If he has the flush I am way behind, but I think there is enough other hands in his range that he would play that I am still ahead. If he has a single diamond in his hand and turned the flush draw, I want to protect against this draw by making him pay to see the river.

      River%s: ($48.00, 2 players) 3:heart: Hero bets $26.25

      I get the rest of the money in on the river. There are a lot of hands he could call with like AT, T9, possible sets, or unlikely but possible, pocket pairs like JJ-QQ. I happened to bet his exact remaining stack, but that was more out of random fun and I don't know if it has any effect on the hand...
  • 2 replies
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      Preflop: It's fine to 3b this especially in the SB. What I don't like is the raise size - It's way too small. I'll make it $5-5.50.

      Flop: The cbet is ok but only because you have a gutshot. With AKo I'm check/folding here all day. It's extremely optimistic for you to think that villain actually folds 88/77 here cos he probably won't and I wouldn't either

      Turn: This is a good card. I do think your bet is a little large though, maybe bet 11 or 12 here so that there's more money left behind on the River.

      Other than that, I think betting thrice is very standard.

    • PhoenixPhreak
      Joined: 15.04.2011 Posts: 335
      Is the larger PF bet because we are and will be oop?

      Though you already said yes, I want to understand further. With the chance of 88 and 77 likely to still call, is this still and okay hand to C-bet with?

      On the Turn I was actually betting bigger so that the river stacks would be smaller and I would hopefully get the rest of his stack if he is calling the turn light at all...
      So, if I bet and get called with a $12 bet, there'll be $44 in the pot with $28.25 in his stack. So I guess that is still okay too...
      I see where that thinking is off now. Thanks!