This site uses cookies to improve your browsing experience. By continuing to browse the website, you accept such cookies. For more details and to change your settings, see our Cookie Policy and Privacy Policy. Close

[NL2-NL10] NL5 A6s

    • 00471
      Joined: 30.03.2011 Posts: 2,590
      Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      SB: $5 (100 bb)
      BB: $5.95 (119 bb)
      UTG: $3.38 (67.6 bb)
      MP: $2.91 (58.2 bb)
      CO: $14.83 (296.6 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $5.45 (109 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with A:club: 6:club:
      3 folds, Hero raises to $0.12, SB folds, BB calls $0.07

      Flop: ($0.26) 2:diamond: 5:club: 3:club: (2 players)
      BB bets $0.15, Hero raises to $0.40, BB raises to $0.70, Hero ?

      probably an aggro fish: 36/18/AFq 64/call open 45 after 28h

      I think that my donk raise is obvious. But isn't the sizing way too low?

      Given that he is a fish, he will have at least some OPs in his range. Therefore I've came up with an estimated range of:

      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 53.74% 53.31% 0.42% JJ-88, 55, 33-22, A4s, A4o
      MP3 46.26% 45.84% 0.42% Ac6c

      And the FEq calculator claims that:

      An all-in bet is profitable even if the villain never folds.
      Input: $4,93/45%/$1,36/$0,7

      So that's a 4b/push on the Flop.
  • 1 reply
    • kymupa
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364

      Yeah, as you can see, you are flipping even against his best range, so I would go broke here.
      Of course calling is an option indeed, as we have position and we can lower the variance.