[NL2-NL10] Nl5 Kq

    • 00471
      Joined: 30.03.2011 Posts: 2,590
      Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      SB: $5.52 (110.4 bb)
      BB: $5 (100 bb)
      MP: $5.45 (109 bb)
      CO: $2.38 (47.6 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $5.13 (102.6 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with Q:diamond: K:spade:
      MP raises to $0.15, CO folds, Hero calls $0.15, SB folds, BB calls $0.10

      Flop: ($0.47) 8:heart: Q:spade: 9:spade: (3 players)
      BB checks, MP bets $0.30, Hero calls $0.30, BB folds

      Turn: ($1.07) 2:heart: (2 players)
      MP checks, Hero bets $0.76, MP calls $0.76

      River: ($2.59) Q:club: (2 players)
      MP checks, Hero bets $0.84, MP calls $0.84

      not a large sample but probably a tight reg

      I call pf, since I have a fish on the SB, I don't know if he'll ever call with worse and I wouldn't know what to do vs a 4b. I'm giving him a ~10-12% range preflop. It might be more but he looks nitty and that's just smart guessing.

      F is an easy call, but I'm not sure what to do on the Turn. The only worse hands, which might have CBetted and may call my bet are TT-JJ. Spade FDs almost don't exist, since I block so many of them.

      R sizing is terrible. If he called with TT-JJ, he might not want to fold them now that my Qx is less likely and now and all draws missed. I beat 4 combos of OPs, which he also very well could have.

      All in all, 8 combos of AQ beat me. I beat 9 combos of OPs and 12 combos of 2nd pairs, so I'd bet ~2,2$ for value to polarize the shit out of myself.
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      Preflop: If he seems tight then you should not call here. Just turn KQ into a 3b bluff.

      Flop: call is standard

      Turn: I'm not sure how often this sort of nit pot controls turn with KK/AA/AQ but I'll bet anyway when there are so many flush draws out there. He should be c/c-ing Turn with a wider-than-usual range.

      River: You should just bet 3/4 pot again. JJ/TT sort of hands may not want to fold when the draws missed and it is less likely for you to have QX yourself. I doubt KK/AA ever folds as well. You are losing a lot of value with a smaller bet.