[NL2-NL10] Nl 2 T2

    • shero1910
      shero1910
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.07.2012 Posts: 122
      Full Tilt - $0.02 NL - Holdem - 9 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      UTG+1: 120 BB (VPIP: 20.19, PFR: 7.57, 3Bet Preflop: 1.01, Hands: 322)
      UTG+2: 102.5 BB (VPIP: 16.72, PFR: 2.97, 3Bet Preflop: 2.08, Hands: 1,647)
      MP: 105.5 BB (VPIP: 18.18, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 11)
      MP+1: 47 BB (VPIP: 13.80, PFR: 7.44, 3Bet Preflop: 2.70, Hands: 655)
      CO: 40 BB (VPIP: 11.33, PFR: 8.27, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 258)
      Hero (BTN): 114.5 BB
      SB: 102.5 BB (VPIP: 20.83, PFR: 4.17, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 24)
      BB: 41 BB (VPIP: 37.50, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 40)
      UTG: 107.5 BB (VPIP: 38.10, PFR: 23.81, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 21)

      SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has T:club: 2:club:

      fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, BB calls 2 BB

      Flop: (6.5 BB, 2 players) 4:club: 9:heart: 3:spade:
      BB checks, Hero bets 3 BB, BB calls 3 BB

      Turn: (12.5 BB, 2 players) A:club:
      BB bets 3 BB, Hero calls 3 BB

      River: (18.5 BB, 2 players) 3:club:
      BB bets 11 BB, Hero calls 11 BB

      BB shows A:spade: Q:spade: (Two Pair, Aces and Threes) (Pre 66%, Flop 74%, Turn 73%)
      Hero shows T:club: 2:club: (Flush, Ace High) (Pre 34%, Flop 26%, Turn 27%)
      Hero wins 38.5 BB

      should i have raised on the river? thanks
  • 7 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi.

      Are you afraid of the River pairing? I don't think his line is consistent with 2-pair or sets on the Flop or turn.

      I think you should raise to 29 bb and call it off if he jams. There's no room to raise/fold vs a 40bb stack. And raising slightly less than all-in looks weaker to a fish so you'll probably widen his range by a significant amount.

      I just think it's way likelier for him to show up with some AX or even trips.
    • shero1910
      shero1910
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.07.2012 Posts: 122
      hi

      i was just worried he might have a higher flush

      thanks
    • GreenPiece
      GreenPiece
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.06.2010 Posts: 5,962
      Is it a good idea to play this hand vs aggressive shortie on the BB?
    • shero1910
      shero1910
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.07.2012 Posts: 122
      i know it was very loose but just trying my luck in position
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      About preflop: I think it's ok, both blinds seem passive and weak. I don't think BB is an aggro shortie, he's probably just a loose fish who doesn't 3b much

      About having higher flushes: You must think about how villain's range changes from the Flop to the Turn. I don't see him having too many club draws unless he called with stuff like 2 overs + backdoor flush draw.

      Examples include J:cT and K:cQ. He shouldn't have stuff like 6:c8 too often IMO, that probably folds the Flop. On the other hand, I think it's really reasonable for villain to have all sorts of Ace high after calling the Flop. I would never fold AX in his shoes as well on such a low dry Flop which hardly connects with your range.

      Therefore, I just think that villain has AX way more often than a flush or a full house.

      Thanks.
    • shero1910
      shero1910
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.07.2012 Posts: 122
      superb help...thanks
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      no problem :)

      just remember that you should always think about how your opponents' ranges changes from each street to the next. You should not just jump to conclusions - Hand reading is about narrowing down ranges from an earlier street to a later street.

      If an aggro player calls instead of 3bets preflop, he probably hardly ever has Aces postflop. So don't assume he could have that . Same goes for this hand - He's hardly going to have club draws here after calling the flop.