[NL2-NL10] NL5 FR JTo flop/turn spots - stab or not to stab?

    • Dawidas888
      Dawidas888
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Known Players:
      UTG3: €6.12 - 122 bb
      MP1: €4.37 - 87 bb
      MP2: €4.69 - 94 bb
      MP3: €5.00 - 100 bb
      CO: €5.00 - 100 bb
      BU: €8.04 - 161 bb
      SB: €5.80 - 116 bb
      BB: €5.13 - 103 bb

      0.02/0.05 No Limit Hold'em (8 Handed)
      Hand recorder for this hand: PokerStrategy.com SideKick 1.1.508.2

      Preflop: Hero is BU with J:heart: , T:diamond:
      SB posts small blind (€0.02), BB posts big blind (€0.05), 5 folds, Hero raises for €0.12, SB calls, BB folds

      Flop: (€0.29 - 5.80 bb) 8:heart: , 3:heart: , 3:diamond: (2 Players)
      SB checks, Hero bets €0.15, SB raises for €0.30, Hero calls

      Turn: (€0.89 - 17.80 bb) K:club: (2 Players)
      SB checks, Hero ???

      -----

      SB was 20/16/9 over 119. FtCB - 50. FtStl - 70.
      The guy was 3betting my steals quite a lot, i.e. he played back at me.

      FLOP
      His flop raise doesn't really rep much besides a FD. He would 3bet most of his high pairs so I figure my OC's are still live.

      TURN
      Do I take another stab or take a free card? I wonder if I have any FE in this spot.
  • 5 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      hi.

      you floated him with the intention of stealing it away later on. Stick with the plan !!!

      Another alternative option is to 3bet the Flop. I do agree that he reps really little and you should play back at him. 88/33 probably slowplays and he only reps A3s, I don't think he has A3o or K3s too often.

      Thanks.
    • CPallo
      CPallo
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.04.2012 Posts: 4,343
      Hello,

      I think I would cback that flop - his low fold to cbet % indicates that he's not giving up and you would have to make multible barrels. You should also fold in case he raises you.
    • Dawidas888
      Dawidas888
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Hi mbml

      Thanks for the evaluation!

      I assume we make a 3rd barrel on non river as it's likely he minraise with a FD and he's not folding on the turn, right?

      Thanks again!
      David
    • Dawidas888
      Dawidas888
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Hi CPallo

      I have no showdown value by checking and I need this bet to work only 33% of the times. The guy folds 50% so it seems like a profitable one to make. In addition to that, I have backdoor draws and OCs. Therefore, I think cbetting is not bad here.

      Thanks for your opinion!
      David
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      hi.

      i'm not too sure how often he minraises Flop and check/calls turn with a flush draw. IMO that's likelier to be 8X which is overplayed.

      Should we bluff the River? I'm not too sure, I think it could be reasonable though. IMO a heart river is good for bluffing cos 8X has to fold.

      Thanks.