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[NL2-NL10] Jj 052013

    • nipbourne
      Joined: 21.07.2009 Posts: 3,597
      $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Holdem
      8 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by

      UTG ($10) 100bb
      UTG+1 ($16.76) 168bb
      MP1 ($10) 100bb
      MP2 ($4.15) 42bb
      CO ($4.80) 48bb
      BTN ($15.88) 159bb
      SB ($4.57) 46bb
      Hero (BB) ($10) 100bb

      Pre-Flop: ($0.15, 8 players) Hero is BB J:club: J:diamond:
      UTG raises to $0.20, 4 folds, BTN calls $0.20, 1 fold, Hero raises to $1, UTG calls $0.80, 1 fold

      Flop: 8:club: 10:spade: A:diamond: ($2.25, 2 players)
      Hero bets $1.25, UTG calls $1.25

      Turn: 6:diamond: ($4.75, 2 players)
      Hero checks, UTG checks

      River: 2:heart: ($4.75, 2 players)
      Hero checks, UTG bets $1.80, Hero folds
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      People who minraise UTG in low-stakes FR games are almost always bad. So even though you are readless, I think this bet-sizing tell gives away quite a bit of info.

      Flop: Since this guy is presumably bad, the best play is to c/c Flop and Turn and fold river. I think most fishes will bluff once or twice a lot but not fire thrice. As such, the best counter strategy is what I have suggested.

      As played you can't fold. Fishes (assuming he is one) tend to delay their bluffs until the river a lot. And you do beat so many busted straight draws - I'm sure you are good here 20% of the time, which is around the pot odds you are being offered.

      Pot odds: 21.5%