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[NL20-NL50] AdQd

    • Natrilis
      Natrilis
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.05.2009 Posts: 378
      Prima, $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      CO: $20 (100 bb)
      BTN: $56.39 (282 bb)
      SB: $20 (100 bb)
      Hero (BB): $22.19 (111 bb)
      UTG: $25.64 (128.2 bb)
      MP: $20.91 (104.6 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with A Q
      3 folds, BTN raises to $0.60, SB folds, Hero raises to $2, BTN calls $1.40

      Flop: ($4.10) K 2 8 (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.60, BTN calls $2.60

      Turn: ($9.30) Q (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN checks

      River: ($9.30) T (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $4.60, Hero ?

      Villian 272h 38/25 steal from BU 74% Fold to 3b-17% 4b-0%(6)
      Fold to Flop CB 3betet pot 40% River Agg Freq 24% bet vs missed CB 59%

      Its looks like value bet on river , i need to fold here?
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909
      Hey N,

      It's really close but the guy looks like he can float some hands there, like worse flushdraws, smaller pairs and could turn those into a bluff. Given that your second pair has a great kicker and in some cases he will vbet QJ, turn 8x, 77, 66 type hands into a bluff, and pure bluff some busted flushdraws, I think you can call given the odds. You will probably win a bit over 25% of the time needed but it's ofc not a great situation, you have to be prepared to lose more often than you win when you call.